MSTR: Oversold, Volatile and Still Waiting for the Real TriggerStrategy Inc Class ABATS:MSTRstouflacrucoStrategy (MSTR) has gone through another violent reset after the explosive 2024–2025 run. The stock is now far below its peak, and long-term momentum is approaching an area where previous reversals have occurred. But this is not yet a clean buy signal. The setup My Master Buy Scanner currently shows: Score: 3/3 Action: WAIT Decision: WAIT Entry quality: OK 60% Position size: 0% WT cross: NO Band 1: GREEN Cycle: NO The long-term oscillator is deeply depressed around WT1 -39.7 / WT2 -38.1, but unlike several other oversold setups, the bullish cycle has not actually fired yet. That distinction matters. Fundamentals are not giving much support The scanner rates business quality and valuation poorly: Business quality: RED — 1/3 Return on capital: -9.08% Value score: 1/5 Cash yield: negative Sales growth 3Y: -1.49% However, traditional valuation metrics are particularly difficult to interpret for MSTR because the investment case is increasingly dominated by its Bitcoin treasury and financing strategy rather than the economics of the underlying software business. In practice, MSTR trades much more like a leveraged Bitcoin proxy than a conventional equity. What I’m watching The interesting part is the technical compression. Momentum is close to the lower long-term band and appears to be trying to stabilize, while the stock has already experienced a substantial drawdown from its highs. But I would rather see the WT bullish cross + cycle confirmation before treating this as a higher-conviction reversal. For now, the setup looks potentially attractive, but premature. Current view: WATCH / WAIT — oversold enough to get interesting, not confirmed enough to chase. For MSTR especially, Bitcoin direction remains the key variable. Not financial advice.