Monday–Wednesday, Aug 31–Sept 2E-mini S&P 500 FuturesCME_MINI:ES1!Vitaly-Waw1. Path A — Failed Rally / Bearish Trigger: Rally into 7780–7800 (first major recovery test). Confirmation: • Rejection from resistance • Failed 5M/15M acceptance • Sellers regain control below the rejection low Action: Short the failed extension. Targets: 7740 → 7700 → 7690 Invalidation: Sustained acceptance above 7800 weakens the immediate bearish thesis (Path D). 2. Path B — Momentum Breakdown Trigger: 7700–7690 (key decision area). Confirmation: • 5M acceptance below 7690 • Increasing downside range/volume • Failed reclaim of 7690 from below Action: Momentum short. A sustained break below 7690 shifts probability toward downside continuation. Targets: 7650 → 7600 → 7550 Invalidation: Reclaim and acceptance back above 7700 (Path C). 3. Path C — Support Test / Responsive Long Trigger: ES reaches 7600–7650. Confirmation: • Downside exhaustion • Failed continuation • Strong responsive buying / reclaim Action: Tactical long scalp only. Targets: 7690 → 7740 Invalidation: Sustained acceptance below 7600. 4. Path D — Bullish Regime Repair Trigger: Sustained acceptance above 7800. Confirmation: • Multiple 5M closes above 7800 • Successful retest • Continued breadth / momentum Action: Suspend the bearish thesis and look for long continuation. Targets: 7835 → new highs Invalidation: Rejection back below 7780 (Path A).