CITY UNION BABNKCity Union Bank LimitedNSE:CUBpradyammmCity Union Bank — Updated MTF Trade Assessment This version is much better structured because the Profit based on Positional Target = ₹625K now correctly matches the Position Target ₹273. 🟢 Overall Rating: 9.0 / 10 — STRONG MTF LONG The setup has excellent multi-timeframe alignment: HTF UP → MTF UP → ITF UP And the entry sits directly around the strongest ITF demand zone. 1. Technical Confluence — ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ HTF Yearly: 81–154 6M: 107–166 Quarterly: 145–174 HTF Average: 138 MTF Monthly: 157–180 Weekly: 194–207 Daily: 204–212 MTF Average: 192 ITF 240M: 211–214 180M: 211–213 60M: 211–214 ITF Average: 212 The key zone is ₹207–214 You have Weekly + Daily + 240M + 180M + 60M demand clustered around the entry. That is a very strong confluence. 2. Entry — 🟢 Excellent Entry 1: ₹214 Entry 2: ₹207 Average: ₹210.50 This is a good two-level accumulation strategy. At 10,000 shares: Total Buy Value = ₹2,105,000 ✅ Own capital at 40% = ₹842,000 ✅ MTF funding = ₹1,263,000 ✅ These numbers are internally consistent. 3. Stop Loss — 🟢 Good SL = ₹200 Actual average entry = ₹210.50 Risk: ₹10.50/share For 10,000 shares: Gross Risk = ₹105,000 ✅ Risk percentage: 4.98% This is reasonable for the setup. 4. Primary Target — ₹256 Your primary target remains: ₹256 Reward: 256 − 210.50 = ₹45.50 Price RR: 4.33 : 1 Your sheet shows 4.3, which is correct. This is a very attractive technical RR. 5. Positional Target — ₹273 🟢 Now your profit calculation is aligned correctly. ₹273 − ₹210.50 = ₹62.50 10,000 shares: Gross Profit = ₹625,000 ✅ Less: Brokerage/taxes: ₹10,318 MTF interest: ₹60,354 Net Profit = ₹554,328 ✅ So your current ₹554,328 calculation is mathematically correct based on your stated assumptions. 6. Positional RR Using actual entry: Reward = ₹62.50 Risk = ₹10.50 Price RR = 5.95 : 1 Your sheet shows Net RR = 4.81 because you are incorporating transaction costs and MTF interest. That's a useful measure. So: Technical RR = ~5.95:1 Net economic RR = ~4.8:1 🟢 Excellent asymmetry. 7. MTF Risk This is the only area I would keep under close control. Your position: ₹2.105M exposure against ₹842K own capital At ₹200 SL: ₹105K gross loss After charges, the immediate loss is around: ₹115K Before considering accumulated MTF interest. That's roughly: 13.7% of your ₹842K own capital If the position takes months to reach the target, interest becomes increasingly important. 8. Target Management I would not treat ₹273 as the first exit. Use a staged approach: ₹245 — First milestone Previous high. Book 25–30%. ₹256 — Primary Target Technical target. Book another 40–50%. ₹273 — Positional Target Keep the remaining quantity for the extended move. This protects the trade while preserving upside. Final Trade Framework BUY ZONE: ₹207–214 Ideal Average: ₹210.50 SL: ₹200 T1: ₹245 T2: ₹256 Position Target: ₹273 Quantity: 10,000 Exposure: ₹2.105M Own MTF Capital: ₹842K MTF Funding: ₹1.263M Expected economics At ₹256: Gross ≈ ₹455K Net ≈ ₹384K At ₹273: Gross = ₹625K Net = ₹554K 🟢 FINAL VERDICT: 9.0/10 This is now a very clean MTF trade setup. The strongest factor is not simply the 4.3 RR—it is the confluence of demand zones across Weekly, Daily and ITF, combined with UP trend on every timeframe. Trade Classification: A-grade MTF Long Entry: 🟢 Strong Trend: 🟢 Excellent Demand: 🟢 Excellent RR: 🟢 Excellent Position Target: 🟢 Strong MTF Economics: 🟢 Attractive Leverage Risk: 🟠 Manage actively One final rule: ₹200 should remain the hard thesis-invalidating level. If that level fails decisively, don't allow the attractive ₹554K positional-profit calculation to influence the exit decision. The trade thesis comes first; the projected profit comes second.