LINK/USDT | H1 | SUPPORT TEST AT EXTREME CCIChainlink / USDTMEXC:LINKUSDTTerminator_Crypto_Analyst🎯 TP1: $11.1005 (+1.01%) │ TP2: $11.0135 (+1.79%) 🛑 SL: $11.5586 (-3.07%) │ R/R: 1 : 0.58 ⚠️ Stop is wider than TP2 target (R/R < 1) — the closer target is taken more often, but calculate position size based on stop size FUNDAMENTAL BACKGROUND In the absence of significant macro releases capable of shifting market attention, LINK continues to move on its own project catalysts. The announcement of nine new integrations across five networks and the expansion of institutional channels via CCIP form a positive medium-term narrative, however, current price dynamics indicate that the market has already priced in this news. The overall backdrop for altcoins remains constructive, but without a sustained altseason, LINK does not receive additional momentum from general risk appetite. TECHNICAL PICTURE The price has settled below the Ichimoku cloud, confirming a bearish sentiment on the hourly timeframe. The CCI 20 indicator has dropped to -194.9, signaling deep oversold conditions — extreme values often precede a technical bounce, but do not guarantee a trend reversal. ADX at 10.9 indicates an extremely weak trend and a lack of directional momentum, with sellers still holding the advantage. Key resistance is concentrated in the $11.37–11.38 zone, where the Tenkan, Kijun, and Ichimoku cloud lines are located — a breakout of this area would open the path to recovery, while staying below will maintain selling pressure. PROBABILITY MODEL The market is in a sideways mode with a 37% probability, confirmed by weak ADX and neutral CMF. The probability of a bearish scenario is estimated at 28% — despite the oversold CCI, sellers retain the advantage, which does not allow for a confident reversal call. Model confidence is limited to 50% due to the contradiction between extreme CCI and weak ADX. DIRECTION 🔴 SELL — CCI at an extremely oversold level with weak ADX indicates a lack of buying momentum.