EUR/USD Multi-Timeframe Analysis - Monthly to 4HEUR/USDOANDA:EURUSDShadowQuantTraderFXEUR/USD Multi-Timeframe Analysis | Monthly β Weekly β Daily β 4H π Market Overview EUR/USD is currently retracing into an important area of higher-timeframe structure. Rather than predicting which level must hold, I have mapped out the key areas where I want to observe price delivery and wait for lower-timeframe confirmation. The analysis follows a top-down approach: Monthly β Weekly β Daily β 4H β 15M execution. βΈ» π· Monthly Context The higher-timeframe picture remains mixed. August traded above the June high, taking the liquidity resting above it, but price subsequently moved back below that level. This keeps the monthly rejection from the higher-price area relevant and prevents me from treating the current market as straightforward bullish continuation. However, the monthly chart does not show the full picture. Lower timeframes have shown acceptance above levels that appear rejected on the monthly timeframe, so I am using the weekly and daily charts to refine the narrative rather than establishing directional bias from the monthly candle alone. Key takeaway: * June high liquidity has been taken. * Monthly price has moved back below the level. * Higher-timeframe rejection remains relevant. * Lower-timeframe acceptance means the bullish case cannot simply be dismissed. βΈ» π· Weekly Context The weekly chart provides an important distinction between rejection and acceptance. Although the higher-timeframe highs have produced rejection, price previously traded through the June monthly high and achieved weekly acceptance above it before selling off. The current decline is now bringing price back toward an important area of previously accepted structure. The accepted weekly low is therefore one of the key levels I am monitoring. I do not want to assume this level will hold simply because it previously acted as support. What matters is how price delivers into and around the level. What I want to observe: * Does price sweep below the accepted weekly low and reclaim it? * Does bullish displacement appear from the area? * Or does price begin accepting below it? The answer will determine whether I continue looking for longs from the upper POI or shift my attention toward deeper demand. βΈ» π· Daily Context The daily chart adds further context to the current retracement. Price has reacted from the daily supply area and is currently delivering lower. However, there are still clearly defined daily demand areas below current price. The upper daily demand overlaps with the area currently being tested on the 4H chart, while a deeper daily demand remains available below. This means I currently view the sell-off as price delivering into areas where a bullish reaction becomes possible, rather than automatically assuming bearish continuation toward the larger lows. β οΈ A demand zone is an area of interest, not an automatic entry. Confirmation is still required. βΈ» π· 4H Structure β Execution Framework The 4H chart is where the higher-timeframe narrative becomes an actionable framework. Before the current decline, price produced: CHoCH β BOS β bullish expansion This established bullish 4H structure while leaving IDM (inducement) below the expansion. Price has now retraced aggressively toward the first 4H demand, positioned around the accepted weekly low. From here, I am monitoring two primary scenarios. βΈ» π’ Scenario 1 β Upper 4H Demand Holds Price trades into the upper 4H demand, potentially taking nearby IDM/liquidity in the process. I am then looking for evidence that buyers are actually regaining control. The sequence I want to see is: 4H demand β liquidity taken β 15M CHoCH β 15M BOS/displacement β retracement β potential long If valid confirmation develops, nearby internal/external liquidity becomes the first logical objective. I would not automatically assume that price must immediately deliver all the way to the higher-timeframe high. If bullish structure continues developing, however, the accepted weekly high can subsequently become an important higher-timeframe liquidity objective. βΈ» π΄ Scenario 2 β Upper 4H Demand Fails If price decisively trades through the upper 4H demand and begins accepting below the accepted weekly low, the immediate bullish thesis from this POI weakens. I will not force a long simply because the original 4H structure was bullish. Instead, my attention shifts toward the lower 4H demand positioned above the August low. This area also has broader daily demand context behind it, making it the next significant POI if deeper delivery occurs. The same rule applies: Price reaching demand β automatic long. I still require lower-timeframe confirmation before considering an entry. βΈ» π― Execution Model For either 4H demand zone, my execution process remains the same: 1. 4H POI reached β 2. Liquidity / IDM taken β 3. 15M CHoCH β 4. 15M BOS with displacement β 5. New 15M IDM / POI forms β 6. Price retraces into the 15M POI β 7. Potential entry If this confirmation sequence does not develop, there is no trade. I would rather miss the initial reaction than enter simply because price touched a pre-marked demand zone. βΈ» β οΈ Risk & Invalidation The purpose of this analysis is not to predict which demand zone must hold. Both scenarios are mapped in advance so that I can respond to the information price provides rather than becoming attached to one directional expectation. My framework is simple: Higher timeframe = location and narrative 4H = area of interest 15M = confirmation and execution Risk management = capital protection No confirmation β No entry. Invalid structure β Reassess the thesis. Protecting capital takes priority over catching every move. βΈ» This analysis represents my personal market view and trading journal. It is not financial advice.