The Economist: “Iowa has voted solidly Republican at the state and federal level for more than a decade. Republicans have dominated the state legislature since 2016; no Democrat has won the governorship since 2006, a Senate seat since 2008 or a congressional race since 2020. In the most recent presidential election, Donald Trump carried the state by more than 13 points.”“Yet Iowa is still home to a large bloc of independents—35% of registered voters—and they appear to be swinging left.”