"NASDAQ100 (US100):CPI Relief Rally Targets 31K Resistance Zone"US Tech 100 IndexPEPPERSTONE:NAS100The-Thief🌐 US100 / USTECH — "THE NASDAQ 100" INDEX CFD 🖥️📈 💰 WEALTH STRATEGY MAP — DAY TRADE / SWING TRADE ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🕵️ LIVE MARKET SNAPSHOT — August 13, 2026 (London Time) 🔵 Asset : US100 / USTECH / NAS100USD — NASDAQ 100 Index CFD 📍 Current Price : ~29,889 (Futures) | Spot ~29,525 📂 Today's Open : 29,694 📊 4-Week Change : -2.84% | 12-Month Gain: +24.9% 🏆 All-Time High : 29,512 (June 9, 2026) 🧭 Market Status : US Pre-market / Early Session — Cautiously Bullish ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🎯 TRADE PLAN — BULLISH BIAS ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 📌 Direction : LONG (Bullish) 🏁 Bias : Upside momentum supported by AI earnings tailwind + CPI relief 🔓 Vault Zone : FLEXIBLE — You can enter the market at any level on pullbacks, breakouts, or retests. Stagger entries like a true institutional thief 🕵️♂️ ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🏆 GETAWAY POINTS — PROFIT TARGETS ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🎯 Primary Target : 30,500 — First resistance zone, strong intraday supply pocket 🏆 Main / Final Target: 31,000 — Police Force Zone! 🚨 Heavy institutional resistance Overbought conditions converging here Reversal trap + profit escape zone is LIVE at this level This is the BIG getaway point — do NOT overstay your welcome! ⚠️ Dear Ladies & Gentlemen — Thief OG's: I am NOT recommending you set ONLY my TP levels. The market is your playground — make money, then TAKE money at your own risk. Manage partial profits along the way. Scalpers bag at 30,500. Swing kings hold for 31,000. The choice is yours. Trade smart. Exit smarter. 🏃♂️💨 ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🛑 THIEF STOP LOSS (SL REFERENCE) ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🔴 Thief SL : 29,000 — Below key structural support + invalidation level ⚠️ Dear Ladies & Gentlemen — Thief OG's: I am NOT recommending you set ONLY my SL. Adjust your stop based on your position size, account risk, and entry timing. Make money, then take money — always at your own risk. Protect the vault first! 🔐 ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🔗 CORRELATED PAIRS TO WATCH — INTEL ON THE MARKET ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ These instruments move in lockstep with the NASDAQ 100 — watch them for confluence signals and early warning alerts 👁️ 📊 SPX500 (S&P 500) — $7,777 area (Futures) → Direct correlation. When SPX500 confirms bullish momentum, US100 tends to follow. → S&P 500 and Nasdaq currently moving in alignment after CPI data relief. → Key level: 7,800 breakout = green light for the bulls on US100. 📊 US30 / DJIA (Dow Jones Industrial Average) — ~$53,763 (Futures) → Moderate positive correlation. Dow weakness = risk-off = US100 may lag. → Currently under mild pressure as money rotates from value into tech/AI names. → Watch for DJI recovery above 54,000 as a broader market health signal. 📊 QQQ (Invesco NASDAQ 100 ETF) — ~$490–$495 range → Direct mirror of NASDAQ 100. Institutional flows here confirm direction. → Options flow showing disciplined call buying: QQQ Call spreads being deployed, not euphoric chasing — this is SMART money re-engaging upside cautiously. 📊 USD/JPY (The Ninja) — ~$160.00 area → Positive risk correlation. USD/JPY rising = risk-on = supports US100 upside. → JPY bearish pressure from Bank of Japan holding ultra-loose policy stance. → Watch 161.00 resistance on USD/JPY — a break higher would be a further tailwind. 📊 AUD/USD (The Aussie) — ~$0.6300–$0.6350 area → Positive correlation — risk-on currencies rise alongside tech indices. → Aussie strength = global risk appetite = confirms bullish US100 setup. 📊 GBP/USD (Cable) — ~$1.2700–$1.2800 area → Soft positive correlation. UK-US trade and investment ties link the two. → Cable recovering mildly, not a blockbuster signal but not a warning either. 📊 VIX (Fear Gauge) — ~15.28 (subdued) → CRITICAL: VIX under 16 = low panic = bulls are in charge 🟢 → VIX in contango (futures above spot) = some traders hedging for volatility ahead. → As long as VIX stays under 18–20, the path of least resistance is HIGHER. 📊 Gold (XAU/USD) — ~$2,470–$2,500 area → Inverse risk relationship. If Gold surges sharply, risk-off may be creeping in. → Currently stable — no major flight-to-safety signal in Gold. Bullish for equities. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🌍 LIVE FUNDAMENTALS & MACRO INTELLIGENCE ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ This section reflects LIVE market data and what the broader market is currently signalling. Not shaped by our trade bias — pure market intelligence only. 🧠 📌 US CPI — July 2026 (Released August 12) ✅ Headline CPI: +0.1% MoM | Annual rate: 3.4% YoY (↓ from 3.5% in June) ✅ Core CPI (ex-food & energy): +0.2% MoM | Annual: 2.5% YoY (↓ from 2.6%) → Inflation eased for a second consecutive month — in line with consensus. → Shelter inflation softened to 3.2% from 3.3%. Gasoline: +24.6% YoY (easing from 26.7%). → The Iran conflict energy shock continues fading at the margin — less inflationary pressure. → Market reaction: Equities extended gains post-CPI, September rate-hike bets trimmed. 📌 US PPI — July 2026 (Released August 13 — TODAY, 08:30 ET / 13:30 London Time) ✅ Final Demand PPI: Unchanged MoM (0.0%) — after -0.1% in June ✅ Annual PPI: +4.7% YoY (still elevated but directionally softening) ✅ Final Demand Services: +0.2% | Final Demand Goods: -0.7% → Wholesale pipeline inflation is cooling on the goods side. → Services-side stickiness remains — energy pass-through still in play. → This data reinforces the CPI narrative: disinflation trend intact, but not defeated. 📌 Federal Reserve — Current Stance 🏛️ Fed Funds Target Rate: 3.50%–3.75% (held since December 2025) 🏛️ FOMC voted 9–3 to HOLD on July 29, 2026 under Chair Kevin Warsh. 🏛️ Three dissenters voted for a HIKE — hawkish signal still live in the room. 🗓️ Next FOMC Decision: September 16, 2026 (includes updated economic projections). → A rate CUT remains very unlikely near-term. A rate HIKE remains a tail risk. → Market currently pricing steady rates for September given tame CPI + PPI combo. → "We expect the Fed to remain on hold for the time being" — Schwab Fixed Income Research. → Tech stocks receiving support from the low-rate hold: lower discount rates = higher valuations. 📌 AI Earnings Season — A Dominant Force 🤖 ✅ CoreWeave (CRWV): Q2 2026 results — massive beat, AI cloud revenue surge, stock +24%. ✅ Lumentum (LITE): +14.3% — adjusted EPS $3.23 vs $2.95 consensus. Revenue +109% YoY. ✅ Ciena (CIEN): +13.2% to $438.70 — direct AI infrastructure read-across. ✅ Super Micro Computer (SMCI): +18% — data center boom confirmation. ✅ SK Hynix (SKHY): +7% — Temasek Holdings (Singapore) takes a fresh stake. → The AI infrastructure trade is alive, generating real revenues, not just hype. → Applied Materials (AMAT) reports AFTER market close today — chip equipment demand in focus. → Cisco (CSCO) and Cerebras (CBRS) fell sharply — a reminder that beats aren't enough when expectations are sky-high. Selectivity matters in this tape. 📌 Geopolitical Landscape — Iran Conflict Energy Watch 🛢️ → The Iran-related oil shock that spiked energy prices earlier in 2026 is fading at the margin. → Gasoline and fuel oil price inflation easing month-over-month — supportive for disinflation. → Strait of Hormuz remains a geopolitical watch point — any escalation = oil spike = risk-off. → Markets monitoring Iran developments closely alongside each macro data release. 📌 US Jobs Market → Labor market remains broadly intact. Jobless claims data released today (August 13). → NFP from previous Friday showed slower hiring pace — not alarming, but watched carefully. → Unemployment rate stable. No significant deterioration in labor conditions as of now. 📌 Upcoming High-Impact Economic Events — London Time 🗓️ 📅 Friday, August 14, 2026 🔴 13:30 London — US Retail Sales — July (Consumer spending health — key for GDP signals) 🟡 15:00 London — University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment — August Preliminary 📅 Tuesday, August 19, 2026 🟡 TBD London — FOMC Meeting Minutes Release (July 29 meeting) — Policy tone clues 📅 Tuesday, August 26, 2026 🔴 13:30 London — US PCE Deflator — July (Fed's preferred inflation gauge) 🔴 13:30 London — US GDP Second Estimate — Q2 2026 📅 Wednesday, September 16, 2026 🔴 19:00 London — FOMC Interest Rate Decision + Economic Projections (Dot Plot) 🔴 19:30 London — Fed Chair Kevin Warsh Press Conference 📅 Thursday, September 11, 2026 🔴 13:30 London — US CPI — August 2026 ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🦹♂️ THIEF TRADER — MOTIVATION VAULT ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 💬 "The market doesn't care about your emotions. Thieves don't hesitate — they plan, they execute, they vanish with the bag." 🎭 💬 "Patience is the weapon. The chart is the map. Every candle tells a story — learn to read the crime scene." 🕯️🔍 💬 "Institutional money moves slow and quiet — like a thief in the night. Follow the footprints. Never chase the noise." 🐾 💬 "Risk management isn't fear. It's the difference between a one-time robbery and a lifelong career." 🛡️ 💬 "The best traders don't predict — they prepare. Set your trap. Let price come to you. Then pull the trigger." 🎯 ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ ⚠️ RISK DISCLAIMER — READ BEFORE YOU TRADE ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 📋 This idea is for educational and informational purposes only. Trading CFDs, Futures, and leveraged instruments carries significant risk of loss. Past performance is never a guarantee of future results. Always trade with a clear risk management plan. Never risk more than you can afford to lose. This is NOT financial advice. The Thief Trader is not your financial advisor. The choice — and the responsibility — belongs to YOU. 💼 ━━━━━━━ 🕵️♂️ Stay Sharp. Stay Profitable. Stay Dangerous. — Thief Trader | Thief OG's 🏴☠️📈 ━━━━━━━