Robert Pattinson has somehow made it this far without an Oscar nomination, but the 2026 movie calendar has given the Academy plenty of opportunities to change that. The former Twilight Saga star has four potential swings at the plate, spread across both leading and supporting categories, and fans have started doing the awards-season math.A discussion over on the Robert Pattinson subreddit kicked off with one fan suggesting he could conceivably win two Oscars, with The Drama or the upcoming A24 movie Primetime putting him in the Best Actor conversation and The Odyssey or Dune: Part Three giving him a shot at supporting. Primetime, in which he plays real-life TV journalist and former To Catch a Predator host Chris Hansen, arrives Sept. 25 after premiering at Venice. So, how realistic are two nominations? Or one? Or, because the Academy loves keeping folks on their toes, none? Let's break it down.The Two Oscar Nomination PathThere is at least a path. The Batman star already has The Odyssey in theaters, where he plays Antinous opposite Matt Damon’s Odysseus. He also has the final chapter of Denis Villeneuve's page-to-screen adaptation, Dune: Part Three as another potential supporting role, while The Drama and Primetime give him lead performances to work with. Some fans are buying the double-nomination possibility and here is what they're saying: u/Xam443216: “I think Primetime and the Odyssey are his best chances.”u/Exciting_Place_6817: “Dude was insane in the Odyssey.”u/mschellbell: “I so hope he wins just one at least!!”If Pattinson did land nominations in both acting categories, he would join a very small club. Only 12 performers have been nominated for two Oscars in separate acting categories in the same year. The most recent was Scarlett Johansson in 2019, when she earned a Best Actress nomination for Marriage Story and a Best Supporting Actress nomination for Jojo Rabbit.That would be a pretty wild career milestone for someone who has never been nominated before. Still, having four movies in the awards conversation does not mean Pattinson has four equal shots. Even getting two of those performances into serious contention would be a feat on its own.(Image credit: A24)A Single Nomination Might Be The Sweet SpotThis feels like the scenario several fans are settling on. Primetime may be Pattinson’s cleanest shot at Best Actor simply because the movie is built around his character. He plays a television host modeled on the kind of controversial and often exploitative reality TV that defined parts of the early 2000s, with the character chasing a chance to make broadcasting history.That gives Pattinson the sort of central, dramatic showcase that can carry an awards campaign. And based on the bonkers first trailer, he certainly looks like he is swinging for the fences here.Meanwhile, reactions to his Odyssey performance are already much more divided:u/Kev2524: “Lets be real: It would be a win if he will be nominated for one of them.”u/mrperuanos: “I didn’t see anything Oscar-worthy in The Odyssey.”u/Xam443216: “I mean, I thought he was a scene-stealer in The Odyssey.”That disagreement may ultimately work against him. Christopher Nolan assembled a massive ensemble for The Odyssey, and the The Lighthouse actor is only one memorable piece of a movie overflowing with recognizable actors. One nomination would still end a surprisingly long Academy drought for an actor who has spent years bouncing between massive franchises and strange little movies.Likelihood of No NominationsHere comes the bucket of cold water. Awards season does not hand out nominations based on how many good performances somebody stacks into a calendar year. Pattinson could conceivably split attention between projects, get squeezed out by crowded categories or simply end up with performances voters like without placing among the final five. Some Redditors are already preparing for exactly that:u/Warden_Of_The_SB: “0 percent chance he wins 2, 15% chance he wins 1.”u/Mundane-Inspector-52: “There’s also a genuine possibility that he won’t get nominated for anything.”u/parkchanwookiee: “0 chance of both.”That is what makes Robert Pattinson’s Oscar situation so fun to watch. Two nominations feel possible. One feels entirely reasonable. Although zero, because awards season loves chaos, would not be shocking either.Pattinson has four swings at bat this year, with no guarantee the Academy sends him to first base. I’ll be in the stands cheering him on, though. Because by my count, the two performances we’ve already seen are both home runs. I have no reason to think Primetime, arriving Sept. 25, or Dune: Part III, hitting theaters Dec. 18, will be any less interesting.For now, Pattinson can still be seen playing one of the slimiest villains in recent memory in The Odyssey, which is currently in theaters.