OCPH: ATH 342 Reached, But Valuation Is Getting Extreme October Pharma Co.EGX_DLY:OCPHmnmabroukw36ixπ OCPH: ATH 342 Reached, But Valuation Is Getting Extreme π π§± Fundamentals: OCPH, like many pharmaceutical stocks in the EGX medical sector, has become extremely expensive after the massive rally. β οΈ The current valuation leaves very little margin of safety for new investors at these levels. π From a fundamental perspective, my fair value entry is around 233 EGP, while the more conservative entry zone is around 180 EGP. π― I believe sooner or later the price will retest these valuation levels and create a much healthier risk/reward opportunity. π π The Pulse: OCPH has already reached the previous target around 322 EGP and pushed further to a new ATH at 342 EGP. π The momentum remains extremely strong, and there is currently no technical reason to call the uptrend finished. π As long as both major trend lines remain intact, the stock remains inside its bullish wave. π₯ However, the distance between the current price and fundamental fair value is becoming increasingly large. β οΈ This makes chasing the stock at current levels increasingly risky, even while the technical structure remains bullish. π A future pullback toward 233 EGP would bring the valuation closer to a reasonable entry level, while 180 EGP would represent a much more conservative opportunity. π― π§± The Key Structural Boundaries: Breakout Trigger: Holding both major uptrend lines keeps the bullish wave active. π First Target: ATH at 342 EGP. π― Second Target: Further upside will depend on continuation of the current momentum wave. π Final Target: New targets will be updated if the stock establishes a confirmed breakout above the current ATH. π β οΈ Risk Management: The main risk is not the current technical trend, but the extremely stretched valuation. β οΈ A break below the major trend lines would be the first serious warning that the bullish wave is losing momentum. π I would avoid chasing the stock and instead wait for a meaningful correction toward the fundamental valuation zones. π― βͺοΈ Sharia Compliance: Status: Eligible according to the provided screening information. β The latest financial statements should continue to be checked against the applicable EGX Shariah Index Supervisory Committee criteria before making a final compliance decision. π π― Verdict: OCPH remains technically bullish after reaching 322 EGP and printing a new ATH at 342 EGP. π But fundamentally, the stock has become extremely expensive and the risk/reward for fresh entries is no longer attractive. β οΈ My preferred fair value entry is around 233 EGP, while the conservative level is around 180 EGP. π― Until a meaningful pullback happens, I would rather watch the bullish trend than chase the price at extreme valuations. π If you like my insights, follow and boost! πππ π $15 TradingView Discount: https://www.tradingview.com/pricing/?share_your_love=mnmabroukw36ix β¨πΈπ€