BTC and the U.S. midterms: bear trap before the next big cycle? Bitcoin / US DollarCOINBASE:BTCUSDAltWoman 🗳️BTC and the U.S. midterms: bear trap before the next big cycle? Bitcoin trades near $64,100 after a violent drop below $65,000. Selling volume surged, but buyers appeared around $63,650. Is this the start of another leg down—or an early bear trap There is an interesting historical rhyme. The 2014, 2018 and 2022 bear markets formed their final lows within the broader period surrounding U.S. midterm elections. The timing was never exact: ▫️ The 2014 cycle bottom arrived in January 2015 ▫️ The 2018 bottom formed in December ▫️ The 2022 low appeared less than two weeks after the election The next U.S. midterms take place on November 3, 2026. If the four-year structure rhymes again, the months around the election could become a key window for searching for a long-term reversal—not a guaranteed bottom. 🧠 Smart Momentum → 🟡 recovering after heavy selling 📈 Trend → 🔴 bearish below $64,800–65,000 🌐 Macro Sentiment → 🟡 election uncertainty and liquidity remain key variables 🐂 Trump Impact → ⚪ no direct signal yet A reclaim of $64,800–65,000 would strengthen the bear-trap hypothesis. Losing $63,650 would keep the correction alive and expose lower support. 🔍 Cycle check: the popular 994-day bull run figure is not a fixed rule. Previous low-to-peak cycles varied and were closer to roughly three years. History does not repeat on command—but this rhyme is worth watching. Is November 2026 the next trap, or is the cycle changing? 👀Follow for the next cycle update—and drop your call below. Disclaimer: This is not investment advice.