Betting 50k on SpaceX reaching 300 by January 2028 to make 500k

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I put 50k on a 290/300 call debit spread expiring january 2028 for 95 cents a piece, with max profit of 10 dollars per spread. So at 50k my max profit is over 500k, a 10x if spacex more than doubles from here to 300 by january 2028. This is definitely going to happen. Elon says SpaceX will have 10-15 gw of datacenter compute by end of 2027. Im only assuming 8 gigawatts. at the current monetization on a per gigawatt basis of 50 billion dollars per gigawatt that gets spacex to a 400 billion dollar run rate on JUST the compute sales. Assigning a 10x multiple to this gets you to 4 trillion valuation, which is what spacex needs to get to 300. This is not at all even accounting for their current cash cow, starlink. With starlink at maybe 30 billion dollar run rate at end of 2027 you only need 370 from compute to get to 400 billion dollar runrate. This is actually a slam dunk, and I will be increasing my position to probably like 150k to make 1.5 million. This is free money   submitted by   /u/smellyfingernail [link]   [comments]