7/28/26 - $VST- Good moneyVistra Corp.NYSE:VSTVROCKSTAR7/28/26 :: VROCKSTAR :: VST Good money - in a correlation 1 land you either a. did your homework or b. realize you'll do it next time or c. find a friend who has done the homework - at $146/shr VST is arguably the "best' of the utility, data center (power atoms/ electrons) and most robust play - a bit boomer for my general taste - but i seem to have a good track record trading this thing and it's very much a rate whipping boi, so tmr will be a test - FWIW... just a theory, i think the latest TACO was given the potential of actual rate hike being higher if oil continued to scream higher ST, and i think mkt is pricing in the "what if" risk a bit too much today (7/10) which means net, i think risk on tmr, but overall.. .need to play defense - vst is a good defense name - i've done the math (there he is with the "M" word again :) - with a 10Y at 5.5% (we're at 4.6% today) if you have 3% growth in FCF (call that electricity price CAGR... inflation "best") you're looking at $140/shr. that's not awful risk/ reward considering LT rates likely lower, even if not 0% again (probably ever) but maybe in the 3-4% range for 10Y and then you have stock closer to $200+ (considering growth in underlying fundamentals). - so it's in the sub $150/shr region at the moment that triggered my trading view "PING" (where you jump out of your seat... a lot of that at the AM open) - so this is risk-parity here - great rental (can sell covered calls for additional income esp if you worry about the coming months/ rates higher) - this is obvious buy in the sub $140 zone and below - but starting to bite here once again in small single digit % allo V