EURUSD Technical and Fundamental AnalysisEUR/USDOANDA:EURUSDHichamAMMFundamental bias Fundamental bias: Bearish EURUSD (prefer selling rallies / looking for lower highs). [/list Confidence: Medium. Why?: Fed “higher‑for‑longer” with internal hawkish dissent vs ECB on hold. US rate/yield advantage over Eurozone. Sticky US inflation and tight labor market keep USD attractive. Eurozone growth is modest and less policy‑supportive for EUR. Bias risks and invalidation This bearish EURUSD view could be wrong if: US data cools sharply (CPI, jobs, GDP), pushing markets to price Fed cuts sooner. ECB turns unexpectedly hawkish on re‑accelerating Eurozone inflation. Risk‑on surge (equities, commodities) reduces safe‑haven USD demand. Geopolitical de‑escalation lowers oil and risk premia, easing USD strength.