EUR/USD 15M: Bullish CHoCH Intact — Weak-High Liquidity Still Ex

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EUR/USD 15M: Bullish CHoCH Intact — Weak-High Liquidity Still ExEUR/USDOANDA:EURUSDaminrahmani888Market Thesis: EUR/USD retains a bullish 15-minute order-flow bias following the confirmed CHoCH above approximately 1.14050 and the subsequent impulsive expansion into 1.14727. Price is now correcting from the marked Weak High, but no visible bearish structural reversal has been confirmed. The preferred approach is to buy retracements into established reaction zones. Shorts remain tactical and require a liquidity sweep plus lower-timeframe bearish confirmation. Visible Confluences (15-Minute): Bullish CHoCH: approximately 1.14050, confirming the prior shift in market structure. Weak High / buy-side liquidity: 1.14727. Upper red resistance zone: approximately 1.14685–1.14760. Secondary red resistance: approximately 1.14545–1.14570. LuxAlgo Money Flow node: 1.14580, showing 5.165K / 46.01%. Current-price Money Flow node: 1.14483, showing 4.449K / 29.63%. Intermediate profile levels: 1.14337, 1.14142, and 1.14093. Yellow reaction zone: approximately 1.13880–1.13930, supported by prominent profile levels at 1.13898 and 1.13946. Blue demand zone: approximately 1.13765–1.13820. Strong Low liquidity: approximately 1.13750. Lower blue demand zone: approximately 1.13535–1.13575, representing the final visible downside support area. Trade Scenarios: Setup 1: Primary Buy — Yellow Reaction Zone Direction: Buy Entry Zone: 1.13880–1.13930 Trigger: 1–5 minute bullish CHoCH, rejection wick followed by displacement, or a decisive momentum close back above 1.13930 Stop Loss: 1.13740 TP1: 1.14050 TP2: 1.14550 TP3: 1.14727 This is the preferred continuation setup while the 15-minute bullish structure remains protected. Setup 2: Liquidity-Sweep Buy — Blue Demand Direction: Buy Entry Zone: 1.13765–1.13820 Trigger: Sweep of the marked Strong Low, recovery above 1.13800, and a lower-timeframe bullish structural shift Stop Loss: 1.13690 TP1: 1.13898 TP2: 1.14050 TP3: 1.14580 This scenario offers stronger risk-to-reward but requires clear evidence that sell-side liquidity has been absorbed. Setup 3: Countertrend Sell — Weak-High Sweep Direction: Sell Entry Zone: 1.14685–1.14760 Trigger: Sweep above 1.14727, immediate rejection, and a 1–5 minute bearish CHoCH with price closing back below 1.14685 Stop Loss: 1.14790 TP1: 1.14580 TP2: 1.14483 TP3: 1.14337 This is a countertrend execution. Without a confirmed liquidity sweep and bearish structural shift, the upper zone should not be sold blindly. Refinement Tip: Treat the 15-minute zones as the higher-timeframe framework and refine execution on the 1-minute to 5-minute charts. Demand an LTF CHoCH, momentum candle, liquidity rejection, or decisive reclaim before entering; touching a zone alone is not confirmation. ⚠️ Disclaimer: Trading financial markets involves significant risk, and no setup carries a guaranteed outcome. This analysis reflects the visible chart structure and LuxAlgo data at the time of the screenshot and is strictly for educational and analytical purposes. Apply independent judgment, predefined risk limits, and disciplined position sizing before executing any trade.