Weekly Review (Oct 5-9): US 10-Year, EUR & GoldUnited States 10 Year Government Bonds YieldTVC:US10YConfluxMethodWeekly review for October 5-9. Not signals, just how I read the tape with the Conflux Method: structure (Reaction Levels), order flow (cluster / delta) and options data. Context: last week the US 10-year yield ran into the old visible levels from 2006-2007 and couldn't push further for now, and on that a risk appetite could start if they don't go higher - equities are still holding despite levels like these. For now traders have stopped pricing an October hike, figuring they won't spoil the mood ahead of the elections. On the euro there were only bounces off the options portfolios, no directional positioning yet, just volatility. US10Y (US 10-year Treasury yield, main chart above) In my read this is the key theme right now. For a pullback, ideally so Bessent and Trump can exhale, it needs to get to around 4.68%. But the question is whether they'll let it, since they're still actively dumping Treasuries; a break of the 2006-07 levels sends it to the upper zones, and then I don't understand the confidence that the rate won't be hiked. Mapping the Treasury move onto gold: 5.75% is around 3850-3930, and 6% is around 3550-3562. Worth noting alongside this: French bonds are under heavy stress (bank shares falling), so there's little for the euro to lean on positively. 6EZ2026 (EUR) Here are the zones, and these are the basis for the work. No directional portfolios in the market yet, they're only trading volatility, so I'm working off the zones and watching the reports for whether interest shows up at the highs. GCZ2026 (Gold) It's clear what you can work with here. The main thing I'm watching is the Treasury-to-gold mapping above: if yields push to the upper zones, that's where my downside targets on gold come from (the 3800 area I've been pointing to). After the rate decision the big players with targets should show up. These are zones and scenarios I'm watching, not a call to trade. Let price come to your levels and let the reads converge first. Educational only, not investment advice. Trading carries a high risk of capital loss. Past results don't guarantee future performance. #ConfluxMethod #trading #futures #options #bonds #gold #EURUSD #orderflow