Does DELL Stock Still Have Fundamental Upside Potential?

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Does DELL Stock Still Have Fundamental Upside Potential?Dell Technologies, Inc. Class CBATS:DELLSwissquoteLike many stocks in the U.S. technology sector in recent months, DELL stock has soared since the spring of 2025. DELL shares are now up more than 500%, a vertical rise that raises questions about the risk of a speculative bubble and a potential blow-off top. Is this surge in DELL stock excessive from a fundamental perspective? More broadly, this question can be applied to the entire U.S. technology sector, particularly segments dedicated to artificial intelligence. It is obvious that after the vertical rise of recent weeks, a technical pullback phase will eventually occur. However, the real question is whether such a retracement would represent an opportunity or not. To answer this question, we must determine whether DELL’s valuation remains under control, both in absolute terms and relative to its sector. Three valuation metrics are being analyzed: • Forward P/E • Trailing P/E • Price-to-Sales The chart analysis highlights a more nuanced situation than it may initially appear. Despite the spectacular rise in the share price, DELL does not exhibit the extreme valuation levels seen during certain historical speculative episodes. The trailing P/E currently stands at 33.45, which is below the average of the computer hardware sector, around 42.36. This indicates that the stock’s appreciation has been accompanied by a significant improvement in earnings, thereby limiting multiple expansion. The picture becomes even more favorable when examining the forward P/E. With a ratio of 20.50, DELL displays one of the most moderate valuations in the sector. This level is below the sector average of 21.78 and well below several competitors with comparable exposure to artificial intelligence themes. The market is therefore anticipating continued earnings growth that could absorb part of the recent increase in the share price. The table below presents the valuation of stocks within the “Computer Hardware” segment of the S&P 500. DELL’s valuation remains below the sector average according to both forward P/E and trailing P/E metrics. The Price-to-Sales ratio tells a somewhat different story. At 2.48, it is currently at its highest historical levels. This reflects the fact that investors are now willing to pay significantly more for each dollar of revenue generated by the company. Nevertheless, this ratio remains reasonable compared with many technology and semiconductor companies heavily exposed to AI, whose sales multiples can be several times higher. Ultimately, the fundamental data do not confirm the existence of an obvious bubble in DELL. The stock certainly appears overbought in the short term following its near-parabolic rise, increasing the risk of a technical correction. However, earnings multiples remain relatively controlled and consistent with a scenario of sustained profit growth. A pullback phase could therefore resemble a reaccumulation opportunity rather than the beginning of a major fundamental reversal, provided that earnings momentum continues to grow at the pace expected by the market. The chart below displays DELL’s weekly Japanese candlesticks together with three fundamental valuation ratios. DISCLAIMER: This content is intended for individuals who are familiar with financial markets and instruments and is for information purposes only. The presented idea (including market commentary, market data and observations) is not a work product of any research department of Swissquote or its affiliates. This material is intended to highlight market action and does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice. 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