USD/CHF Bulls Eye 0.8080 – But Is a Trap Coming First?USD/CHFOANDA:USDCHFEdgeTradingJourney🔹 COT (Commitment of Traders) USD Index: Non-commercial longs increased (+1,541), shorts decreased (-1,009). → Speculators turning more bullish on the Dollar. CHF Futures: Non-commercial longs rose (+1,992), shorts declined (-1,030). → Speculators also turning more bullish on the Swiss Franc. 📌 Combined Result: Strength on both USD and CHF, but the imbalance favors the Dollar. 🔹 FX Sentiment (retail positioning) 74% long USD/CHF vs 26% short. 📌 Retail is heavily long → contrarian signal → risk of a downside correction, even though the macro setup still favors USD. 🔹 Seasonality October is historically bearish for USD/CHF (average -0.01 to -0.02 over the last 10–20 years). November tends to be neutral, while December is again weak. 📌 Seasonal bias → contradicts Dollar strength, adding short-term downside risk. 🔹 Price Action Price consolidating around 0.7980, after a recovery from the BPR (Balanced Price Range). Structure suggests possible continuation higher toward the 0.8050–0.8080 supply zone. RSI neutral, with room for further upside. A break below 0.7940 would invalidate the bullish scenario and expose downside toward 0.7900.