European Insurers: Yield Half That of Banks MAPFRE, S.A.BME_DLY:MAPActivTradesEuropean Insurers: Yield Half That of Banks in a Low-Interest Environment By Ion Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades The European insurance sector has shown remarkable resilience over the past three years, initially benefiting from the European Central Bank’s (ECB) interest rate hikes and maintaining solid performance despite rates declining over the past year. Since the start of the monetary tightening cycle in July 2022, insurers have gained 64% in the stock market, half the advance seen in banks (+125%), yet significantly outperforming the Stoxx 600 (+20%). The EuroStoxx50, the benchmark index of major Eurozone companies, has posted a positive performance in 2025 with a year-to-date return of 13.65%, reflecting a solid recovery in the European market. This performance has been driven by sectors such as technology, healthcare, finance, and industrials, which have reported earnings growth exceeding expectations. Banks Riding High, Insurers Lagging Behind According to the latest Refinitiv/Euro Stoxx Banks data for 2025, the average PER of the European banking sector stands at around 9.8x, while the 10-year historical average PER has been approximately 8.2x. Thus, the European banking sector currently trades at a 19.5% premium to its historical average. For the European insurance sector, the current average PER is around 12x, compared to a 10-year historical average of approximately 9x. Insurers are currently trading at a premium slightly above 33% relative to banks, a historically narrower gap than in the past, when it exceeded 80%. This adjustment reflects both earnings growth and a solid dividend policy, maintaining the sector’s attractiveness amid economic slowdown. The life and health business has been key to the sector’s rebound, with revenue growth of 12.2% through June, according to Unespa and Icea data. Mapfre Economics estimates the insurance gap in Spain at around €41.4 billion, pointing to significant expansion potential. Across Europe, major players such as Allianz (+17%), Axa (+18%), and Zurich (+5%) ended the first half positively, while companies like Prudential (+50%), Aviva (+38%), and Admiral (+30%) posted remarkable gains. Mapfre: Technical Strength and Relative Attractiveness Mapfre stands out among peers due to its strong stock recovery (+almost 50% in 2025) and attractive valuation, with a PER below 10 compared to the sector average of 12. From a technical perspective, the stock trades at €3.78, consolidating above a key support zone at €3.63–3.70. A break above resistance at €3.80 could open a path toward the €4.00–4.05 zone, previous highs from 2018, while a drop below €3.65 would risk a correction toward €3.50. Key support levels are located around €3.63, the second support above the point of control (POC) at €3.396, and the third support at the lower end of the current accumulation area at €3.260. The RSI is currently highly overbought at 73.76%, and the MACD remains strongly bullish, supported by increasing histogram volume. Strong claims performance, an improved combined ratio, and a ROE of 12.2% support the trend, while a dividend yield above 6% enhances its appeal for defensive investors. Sector / CompanyCurrent PERHistorical Avg. PERPremium (%)Performance 2025 YTD* Mapfre9,8x9x9%+48% European Insurers12x9x33%+14% European Banks9,8x8,2x19,5%+20% Eurostoxx5018x16x12,5%+8% Stoxx60015x14x7%+6% *Performance as of August 2025. Ion Jauregui (2025) Key Takeaways •Mapfre stands out within the insurance sector, with a PER below the European average and a notable 48% gain year-to-date in 2025. •This highlights that, despite the sector’s overall premium, Mapfre remains an attractive stock due to its growth potential and dividend. •Comparing with EuroStoxx50, Stoxx600, and banks shows that the financial sector has led European market gains, though with significant differences between banks and insurers. ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). 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