Tomorrow’s Playbook: Levels, News Bias & Scenarios 08/14/2025E-mini S&P 500 FuturesCME_MINI:ES1!MyAlgoIndexSummary: Bias = Neutral→Bullish while above 6,464–6,466 and the 15m 200-EMA (6,459). A clean 5m/15m acceptance above 6,491/6,500 favors continuation; otherwise expect a data-driven sweep into 6,475–6,468 to test demand. Scenarios & Triggers (rule-based) 1) Continuation breakout •Trigger: 5m close > 6,491 → probe 6,496–6,500. •Validation: 15m acceptance above 6,500 (no immediate rejection). •Targets: 6,502–6,505 first; stretch 6,512/6,520 if momentum persists. •Management: If price reclaims 6,491 from above after a retest, momentum likely intact. 2) Rotation to demand (buy-the-dip if structure holds) •Trigger: Rejection at 6,489–6,491 with 5m close back inside range. •Path: 6,482 → 6,475.5 → 6,468; watch order-flow absorption or an FVG fill inside 6,464–6,466. •Validation: Bullish 5m close from the box and 15m structure holds above 6,459. •Targets on bounce: Return to 6,489–6,491, then 6,496–6,500. 3) Bearish flip (lower-probability without data shock) •Trigger (strict): 15m bearish confirmation and sustained acceptance below 6,459 (15m 200-EMA). •Path: Open the door to a deeper mean-reversion leg toward prior breakout bases (next map would be built after the break). •Note: No shorts without that 15m confirmation per protocol. Educational only — not financial advice.