AUDCAD | Weekly Outlook | July 14, 2025Australian Dollar / Canadian DollarFOREXCOM:AUDCADmuhannad_anwar🟦 AUDCAD | Weekly Outlook | ICT-Based Analysis 📅 Week Starting: July 14, 2025 🧠 "Don't chase — let the trade come to you." 🧭 Market Context (1H + HTF Alignment) This chart outlines a clear Smart Money framework for AUDCAD using ICT principles. The market recently completed a manipulation phase below a major accumulation zone, forming a clear SMT divergence and respecting a CISD (Clean Internal Sell-side Displacement). After manipulation and SMT confirmation, price respected the CISD and showed willingness to displace bullishly, suggesting a potential re-accumulation phase on the lower timeframes. 🔍 Key Observations Accumulation + SMT: We had a prolonged accumulation phase that led to a smart money manipulation (fakeout), marked by SMT divergence. This was followed by a bullish shift in structure, confirming intent. CISD + CE Reaction: Price respected the CISD zone and formed a bullish W reversal + OB/BI setup. This is a common ICT pattern before major expansions. Re-Accumulation Area: The current consolidation near ERL levels shows signs of controlled accumulation, with price respecting previous liquidity levels. This area may act as a springboard for expansion towards HTF objectives. 📈 HTF Targeting: Reversal Area + EQH The chart marks a High Time Frame Reversal Area (HTF) above the current price, potentially acting as a premium inefficiency or sell-side liquidity target. EOH (Expansion Objective High) is drawn in that same region, providing a long-term magnet for price. This aligns with the broader Monthly Cycle expectation. 🔄 Monthly Cycle Analysis “Monthly Cycle is Created — Open, Low... Now We Wait for the High and Close.” This suggests: Monthly Open and Low are already formed. A bullish monthly cycle is anticipated — meaning we're waiting for the High to form next. Once the high is set, a retracement towards the Close level is expected by the end of the month. This macro view gives us context for aiming long positions on pullbacks — buying dips within the re-accumulation range. ⚠️ Trader's Insight Don’t Chase — Let the Trade Come to You. The setup is not about chasing price. Instead, the idea is to: Wait for price to return to favorable zones (e.g., CE of OB inside CISD) Confirm intent with LTF SMT, FVGs, or M15 structural shifts Target HTF inefficiencies and liquidity zones (EOH & Reversal Area) 🎯 Bias for the Week Bullish, based on: Monthly cycle direction (expecting HIGH) Price behavior post-CISD respect Clear smart money accumulation and displacement Re-accumulation on LTFs suggesting continuation