Litecoin: Major Expansion or Still Too Early?

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Litecoin: Major Expansion or Still Too Early?Litecoin / TetherUSBINANCE:LTCUSDTshakatrade1_618Price Action & Key Zones Litecoin LTCUSD LTCUSDT continues to move within a multi-year consolidation range. The monthly chart clearly shows the range that has held since 2022. Key levels to watch: Resistance at 145–150 USD — a key seller zone that has repeatedly acted as a reversal area. Zone 150–180 USD — monthly imbalance, likely to serve as major resistance on breakout. Range 195–270 USD — bearish order blocks, which will also act as overhead resistance. On both monthly and weekly timeframes, LTC appears to be in a phase of accumulation or reaccumulation. A breakout from this structure will likely take time. Wave Analysis: Two Scenarios 1. Base scenario: LTC is still forming a contracting triangle. Currently, it is developing wave D, which should test the monthly imbalance in the 150–180 range. After that, a correction in wave E (bearish phase) is expected, followed by a potential upward impulse. 2. Alternative scenario: the triangle is already complete, with wave E having formed at $62 in December 2024. A new upward expansion has begun. However, this version is not supported by the triangle’s geometry — none of its sides align with the 0.618 Fibonacci ratio. Also, proper distribution in such cases typically takes at least 6 months, and BTC might not have that much time left in its cycle. Therefore, I stick with the base scenario: LTC is still in the accumulation phase. Targets & Timing Near-term targets: $107 → $128 → $147 (December high). Maximum target for this cycle — $180, where a major reversal or distribution may occur. On the 4H chart, a 5-wave impulse structure formed from April to May (likely wave A), followed by a sharp correction. Currently, wave C appears to be unfolding, and based on Fibonacci extensions, it could reach between $128 and $180. Fundamental Drivers for Growth: 1. Litecoin remains a reliable payment network, offering fast transactions and low fees — often referred to as “digital silver.” 2. LTC mining is synchronized with BTC, making it a logical choice for certain miners. 3. In many regions, LTC is actively used for cross-border transfers and capital movement. 4. Undervalued compared to other altcoins, with no centralization concerns or SEC scrutiny — this could attract more institutional interest. 5. ETF Potential: after BTC and ETH, Litecoin could be the next natural candidate for a spot ETF. If approved, this could trigger a significant surge in interest and liquidity.