BTC/USDT (1H) Market Analysis – July 19Bitcoin / USDTMEXC:BTCUSDTKraymer71 BTC is hovering just below the 200 EMA, having recently bounced off it with a small recovery candle. The recent downtrend from the $121K peak has flattened, and price is forming a potential short-term base above the $117K support. There's low-volume chop, suggesting indecision or a pause before the next leg. Key Technical Levels Support zone: $117,200 – $117,500 (200 EMA + recent wick support) Resistance zone: $118,500 – $119,000 (cluster of short EMAs + prior supply) Breakout level: $119,500 (for a bullish continuation) Breakdown level: $116,800 (for further downside) Indicator Insights RSI: 42.86 and curling up slightly → shows a potential recovery attempt but still below neutral. QQE MOD: Deep in bearish territory (–8.53), but we’re seeing the first signs of easing negative momentum. ATR: 681 and gradually falling → declining volatility, aligning with consolidation. Bias & Scenarios Bullish Case: If BTC holds above the 200 EMA and breaks above $118.5K with volume, we could see a retest of the $119.5K–$120K zone. RSI breaking 50 and QQE printing lighter red would confirm upward momentum. Bearish Case: Failure to reclaim EMAs and a drop below $117K could send price toward $116K or even back to the breakout base at $114.5K. Watch for volume spikes on red candles and RSI breaking back under 40.