Ether Futures Technical Analysis & Price Prediction with tradeCompass (August 22, 2025)Summary (Today)Bullish above: 4,225Bearish below: 4,141Primary bias: Bullish while price holds above the 4,212.5–4,228 “rail” (mid ~4,219)Current price (time of analysis): 4,258.5Key context: We have a high‑importance zone from 4,212.5 (today’s VAL) to 4,228 (yesterday’s POC, near yesterday’s VAL), bracketed by Aug 20 & Aug 19 VWAPs—a tight acceptance rail centered near 4,219. Above that rail and above 4,225, the tradeCompass bias remains bullish.Ethereum Market Context & Directional BiasWhere we are: Ether futures trade around 4,258.5, a touch under today’s POC, but above the 4,212.5–4,228 acceptance rail. That keeps buyers in control by the tradeCompass map.Why it matters: The confluence of today’s VAL, yesterday’s POC/VAL, and two prior-session VWAPs in a 15.5‑point band concentrates liquidity and prior acceptance. Sustained trade above 4,225 favors continuation toward higher volume magnets and prior VWAP/VA structures.Bearish invalidation: The downside only activates on a decisive break below 4,141 (yesterday’s VAL; just under Aug 19 POC), flipping the map and opening a stair‑step to progressively lower magnets.Key Levels & Partial‑Profit Strategy (Ethereum Bulls)Below are the laddered partial‑profit targets you asked to include, with brief “why it matters” notes. Execute one long per direction per tradeCompass; manage risk with staged exits.4,281— Just under Aug 21 VWAP; first logical “fair value” check and scale‑out area.4,302.5— Sits below the VAH of both today and yesterday; high-probability reaction zone.— Move stop to entry upon reaching this second scale‑out (tradeCompass rule).4,349— Conservative waypoint ahead of liquidity around the mid‑350s and the 4,359 (Aug 20 POC) gravity above; take profits before crowded stops.4,515.5— Extension target under Aug 15 VWAP; attainable if momentum persists intraday or on a swing basis.4,578.5— Below Aug 15 VAH; continuation objective if trend sustains.4,688— Below Aug 14 VAH; final extension for today’s plan (beyond here would require a new tradeCompass).Key Levels & Partial‑Profit Strategy (Ethereum Bears)Bearish scenario activates below 4,141. Targets are closer at first and cluster around psychological magnets.4,102.5— Just above 4,100 and Aug 18 VAH; take initial profits into round‑number liquidity.4,002— Near Aug 8 VWAP and 4,000; classic magnet where responsive buying may show.3,963— In line with Aug 8 VAL; completes today’s bearish ladder.(Swing traders: deeper liquidity zones exist at 3,862, 3,815, and 3,635—these are outside today’s compass but worth marking.)Ethereum News & Catalysts to Watch (last 24–48h)These items do not replace the technical plan; they complement it by explaining flows and sentiment that can speed up or slow down the path between targets.Bloomberg (today): A collapse in Bitcoin volatility is pushing risk‑hungry traders toward other crypto exposures. In August, Ether ETFs saw ~$2.5B of inflows while Bitcoin products had ~$1.3B of net outflows—a supportive relative‑flow signal for ETH. Bloomberg.comInvestingLive (today): “Can Ethereum follow Bitcoin to a new all‑time high?” — review of ETH’s July momentum and the August pullback near prior ATH area; useful macro context for swing‑bias. investingLiveInvestingLive (today): “Fair Value in Crypto” — framework for thinking about Bitcoin/Ethereum fair value, useful when price separates from VWAPs and value areas. investingLiveInvestingLive (this week): Recent ETH analysis & price prediction posts outline continuation triggers and risk levels; the structure aligns with today’s tradeCompass thresholds. investingLive+1Reuters (last week): Standard Chartered lifted its year‑end ETH target to $7,500, citing stronger industry engagement and rising holdings—macro tailwind for medium‑term bulls. ReutersBloomberg (Aug 8): ETH topped $4,000 on ETF inflows and broader demand, underscoring how spot ETF flows are increasingly pivotal to ETH price discovery. Bloomberg.com(Contextual macro): Crypto beta has remained resilient into mid‑August; Bitcoin’s record and flows remain relevant cross‑asset signals for ETH trend persistence. ReutersHow to use this news: If flows into ETH funds stay firm and BTC vol stays muted, pullbacks to the 4,219–4,225 rail may attract dip‑buyers. Conversely, a news‑driven liquidity shock that pushes price back below 4,141 would activate the bearish ladder.Educational Segment (Value Area, VWAP, POC — concise refresher)Value Area (VAH/VAL): The price band where most trading volume happened in a session (typically ~70%). VAH caps where value was accepted; VAL floors it. Repeated acceptance above/below these edges often seeds the next directional leg.VWAP (Volume‑Weighted Average Price): Think of it as the session’s fair trade line. Above VWAP implies buyers paying up relative to volume distribution; below implies sellers dominating. Prior‑day VWAPs frequently act as memory levels for intraday targets.POC (Point of Control): The single most‑traded price by volume. It behaves like a magnet on rotations and a staging post on breakouts. Targets placed just before POCs/VAHs/VWAPs can improve fill probability and reduce slippage.tradeCompass Management Rules (quick reminders)One trade per direction (don’t overtrade the map).Scale out: Take partials at each listed target; do not wait for the “home run” to manage risk.Stop logic: After the second target, move stop to entry.Invalidation: Never park a stop beyond the opposite threshold—breaching it cancels the original premise.Confirmation: Use your preferred confirmation (e.g., 15‑min hold above/below a threshold, or two closes) to suit your risk tolerance.Clarification: Using the investingLive.com tradeCompass (bull/bear roadmap)This map is meant to be actionable across timeframes:If price is hovering under a bullish threshold and failing to hold, aggressive traders may probe shorts back toward the rail or VAL.If price pushes below the bearish threshold (4,141) and holds, that signals a deeper bearish stage, activating the short ladder.The middle “rail” (4,212.5–4,228, mid ~4,219) is your navigation channel—acceptance above favors longs toward 4,281 → 4,302.5, while acceptance below increases risk of a drive toward 4,141.orderFlow IntelWhen available, we’ll overlay Order Flow Intel (delta, cumulative delta progression, absorption/rejection at VA edges) to time entries at the rail and VWAPs. This augments the map by flagging who’s in control at the moment of decision, buyers lifting offers or sellers hitting bids. We may utilize that on trade ideas at investingLive Stocks Telegram (not only for stock trade ideas), hop on over.Professional DisclaimerThis Ethereum technical analysis is decision support, not investment advice. Crypto and futures are volatile; always trade at your own risk, size positions prudently, and use stops. The Ether futures price prediction and key levels above are based on today’s VWAP/Value Area/POC map and may change with market conditions.See also:Fair Value in Crypto (framework for BTC/ETH fair value). investingLiveCan Ethereum follow Bitcoin to a new all‑time high? (big‑picture ETH context). investingLiveEthereum Analysis & Price Prediction Today with tradeCompass (recent map). investingLive This article was written by Itai Levitan at investinglive.com.