GBPUSD BUY TRADE PLANBritish Pound vs US DollarICMARKETS:GBPUSDjibkhan111**PAIR & DATE:** GBPUSD – 28 Aug 2025 **PLAN ID:** GBPUSD-280825-L01 **PLAN OVERVIEW** * **Category:** Intra-Day → Potential extension into swing if follow-through holds * **Trade Type:** Trend Continuation (Buy) * **Direction:** Buy * **Confidence:** 76% * **Min R\:R:** 1:3 * **Status:** VALID **MACRO ALIGNMENT NOTE** ✅ **WITH Trend & WITH Macro Bias** – Macro bias still supports GBP strength vs USD weakness (recent softer USD data + neutral-hawkish BoE stance). Technical structure on D1/H4 remains bullish with higher-lows formation intact. **LEVELS CARD – PRIMARY SETUP (Higher Probability)** * **Entry:** 1.3505–1.3515 (H1 demand / prior breakout retest) * **Stop Loss:** 1.3470 * **TP1:** 1.3560 * **TP2:** 1.3590 * **TP3:** 1.3620 (stretch target if momentum + macro tailwind continue) * **Order:** ✅ **Market** – H1 Morning Star confirmation from zone just triggered. * **Session Preference:** London → NY overlap **ALTERNATE SETUP** (High-probability counter only; independently ≥70% confluence) * **Type:** Tactical Short from resistance liquidity sweep * **Entry:** 1.3620–1.3635 (D1 supply / equal highs liquidity) * **Stop Loss:** 1.3665 * **TP1:** 1.3570 * **TP2:** 1.3540 * **Rationale:** Major HTF resistance zone with clean downside room to retest 1.3540 if overextended before macro data. Requires H1 rejection wick + BOS confirmation. * **Macro Alignment:** Counter Trend, Counter Macro Bias → reduced size 0.5–1% risk. **EXECUTION CHECKLIST** 1. News gate: Avoid 15m before / 30–60m after red GBP or USD events. 2. Price taps zone in preferred session. 3. Confirmation: ✅ Already met – H1 Morning Star pattern with close above prior candle midpoint. 4. Execute defined order type (market). 5. TP1 partial (30–40%) → SL to BE. 6. Trail stops by structure after TP1. 7. Skip if reversal negates confirmation. **FUNDAMENTALS & NEWS** * **CB Bias:** BoE hawkish tilt; Fed neutral-dovish lean. * **Key Data (7d):** Upcoming US PCE, NFP; UK GDP print next week. * **Cross-Asset Sentiment:** DXY softening, S\&P firm; yields slightly lower; VIX calm. * **Positioning:** COT shows modest GBP net-long build; USD net-long trimming. * **Macro Lean:** GBPUSD macro bias bullish barring surprise hawkish Fed tone. **MARKET MAP** * **D1/H4 Structure:** Bullish bias; higher lows intact; prior breakout area retested. * **Liquidity Pools:** Equal highs \~1.3620; intraday demand 1.3505–1.3515; PDL \~1.3470. * **OB/FVG:** H4 bullish OB at 1.3505; small H1 FVG aligning with entry. * **Play Type:** Continuation (Primary) / Sweep-Reversal (Alternate). **RISK & MONEY MANAGEMENT** * **Risk per idea:** 1–2% (Primary), 0.5–1% (Alternate – counter nature). * **Min R\:R:** 1:3. * **Spread Filter:** ≤1.5× typical London/NY. **CONFIDENCE (ONE SENTENCE)** 76% — Primary long aligns with macro + HTF trend, fresh demand retest now confirmed by H1 Morning Star; Alternate short only if overextension into major D1 supply with reversal trigger. **FINAL EXECUTION STRATEGY / PERSONAL NOTE** * **Primary:** Zone is fresh; Morning Star confirmation active; execute long now with defined SL/TPs. * **Alternate:** Zone is fresh; only execute short if liquidity sweep + BOS at 1.3620–1.3635. * Stay flat if price action invalidates entry or fails to hold above 1.3470.