Bitcoin - Will the CME gap be filled?BTCUSDT Perpetual ContractBYBIT:BTCUSDT.PYouriverseIntroduction Bitcoin has been under consistent downward pressure since it reached its new all-time high, and the market has been struggling to regain momentum. During the past weekend, we saw a notable drop in price that created a CME gap, which also happens to align with the bearish 4-hour fair value gap. Since then, the price has been climbing back up, but the recovery has been slow and cautious rather than explosive. The key question now is whether Bitcoin will continue to rise and fill the CME gap or whether it will lose strength and revisit the recent lows. In the following sections, I will go over the levels and scenarios to watch closely. Daily FVG bounce Last week, Bitcoin found support at the daily fair value gap, which acted as a strong demand zone. From this level, the price bounced upward and has been grinding higher ever since. Although this reaction gave some relief to buyers, the pace of the move has been rather sluggish, and momentum remains weak. What traders now need to evaluate is how far this move can realistically extend. The daily FVG provided the initial foundation for this bounce, but the real test will come as the price approaches shorter-term imbalances and resistance areas. Bullish scenario For the bullish outlook to play out, Bitcoin needs to hold the current 1-hour fair value gap as support. If this level remains intact, it will signal that buyers are in control of the short-term trend and that the recent bounce has the potential to evolve into a more sustainable rally. In that case, the next logical upside target would be the 4-hour fair value gap, which conveniently aligns with the CME gap left behind last weekend’s drop. Filling this inefficiency would not only provide a technical target for bulls but would also help restore some balance to the market structure. Bearish scenario On the other hand, if Bitcoin fails to maintain the 1-hour fair value gap and breaks below it with a clear 1-hour candle closure, the outlook shifts to bearish. This kind of move would create a bearish inversion and serve as confirmation that sellers are regaining control. If this occurs, the probability increases significantly that Bitcoin will revisit its recent lows. In such a case, the market could once again test the demand at the daily fair value gap, and depending on the strength of that support, we could even see deeper retracements. Final thoughts Bitcoin is currently at an important crossroads where both bullish and bearish outcomes remain possible. The reaction around the 1-hour fair value gap will provide the clearest signal as to which direction the market is likely to take next. If buyers manage to defend this level, the path toward the 4-hour FVG and the CME gap becomes a realistic target, offering room for a meaningful recovery. However, if sellers push the price below the 1-hour imbalance, then the recent bounce may be nothing more than a temporary relief rally before another leg down. Traders should remain cautious, monitor these key levels closely, and adapt to whichever scenario unfolds. ------------------------- Thanks for your support. If you enjoyed this analysis, make sure to follow me so you don't miss the next one. And if you found it helpful, feel free to drop a like 👍 and leave a comment 💬, I’d love to hear your thoughts!