CRWD – Pre-Earnings Game Plan CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.NASDAQ:CRWDTWRTEAMHow to read this Metrics Panel (Pro breakdown) Instrument profile Cap/Float: Big cap (~$102.2B) with public float ~239.9M shares. Volume today ~1.73M ⇒ Vol/Float ≈ 0.7% (~0.007×) → thin participation relative to float; limited “squeeze” potential. Leverage multiplier 0.01× and Explosive Ratio (10-day) ≈ 0 → no recent expansionary bursts; price tends to move in measured steps. Momentum & Volatility Momentum signal: Sideways / Low momentum. Tape is balanced; expect mean-reversion/range trades unless momentum improves. Beta ≈ 0.04 → “Low Volatility” vs the market. Swings are typically muted; position sizing can be a touch larger than a high-beta name (risk governed by stop distance, not beta). Price change today: +$8.47 (+2.03%) — constructive day but not a regime change by itself. Price context Pump % | Price %: +0.72% | +2.03% — confirms the day’s push is price-led, not a high-velocity “pump”. Prev Close | Now: $417.60 → $426.07. Target ladder (model) Est. Target + Cap/Float: C/M/A are projected move sizes from the current price, scaled by capitalization/float: C (Conservative) ≈ 42.51% → price ≈ $468.6 M (Moderate) ≈ 56.68% → price ≈ $482.8 A (Aggressive) ≈ 85.01% → price ≈ $511.1 Use them as take-profit rungs, not guarantees. In a low-momentum state, probability favors the C rung first. Risk module Estimated Stop Loss: $407.50 (about 4.3% below current). This is the invalidating level the model sees for the current setup. Stop-trail ready: $426.07 (at-market) — if you enter on strength, you can trail once price advances; otherwise keep the static SL while building the position. Breakout/Momentum/Trend triggers: currently N/A at Lvl 1–3 → there’s no confirmed breakout from the model’s trigger bands yet. Gap % (Y/R): YoY +0.96% / Rolling +0.72% — benign; not a “gap-and-go” environment. Bear momentum? YES / Bull momentum? NO — sellers have had the upper hand recently, which is consistent with “sideways/low momentum”. Treat green days as bounces until the trigger flips. Fundamentals line (for context, not timing) EPS (TTM) ≈ –0.70, Intrinsic value ≈ –$19.91 (model’s heuristic). These do not drive the intraday signal; they help frame longer-term expectations. Data status: Float OK — float data is present and used. Overall signal (dashboard) “Strong (Bullish)” + “Light Up (Now)” means: today’s session quality is bullish within a broader low-momentum regime. Translation for execution: favor buy-the-dip in range or breakout only after a trigger prints. Execution playbook (practical) 1) If trading range/mean-reversion Entry: pullbacks toward intraday VWAP/short MAs that hold above $417–$420. Invalidation: $407.5 (panel stop) or last swing-low, whichever is tighter. Profit taking: stair-step toward C rung ($468s); trail once price accepts above local resistance. 2) If trading trend/breakout Wait for a model “Breakout Ready / Trend Trigger” to print (or a daily close through your resistance level with expanding volume). Starter risk: ≤ 0.5–1.0% of account per trade. Position size (example): size = (Account × Risk%) / (Entry – Stop) If $25,000 acct, 1% risk ($250), entry $426, stop $407.5 ⇒ risk $18.5 ⇒ ≈ 13 shares. 3) When to stand down Momentum remains “sideways/low”; no trigger and price back below VWAP with rising sell volume. Close < $407.5 (setup invalid). Major event risk (earnings/guide) with elevated IV if you can’t hedge. Bottom line This is a big-cap, low-beta name in a sideways/low-momentum phase that printed a constructive day. Treat long ideas as tactical until a breakout trigger fires. Use $407.5 as your primary risk line, and the C/M/A target ladder (~$469 / $483 / $511) for scaling out once momentum improves. For educational purposes only; not investment advice. CRWD – Pre-Earnings Game Plan (Daily) Quick view Cap: Big-cap cybersecurity Trend (1D): Corrective down leg inside a larger up-trend. Current price: ~$425 Near-term recovery target: $487 (needs confirmation). Longer-term extension if trend resumes: $575 (weekly swing objective). Event risk: Upcoming earnings → path can gap. Key levels Support: $354–350 (major demand / buyers likely set alerts here). Trigger to re-long: >$470 close with volume (reclaim of setup zone). Overhead supply: $502 → $533 (seller bands; “capital defense/critical” on your panel). Failure line: $470. Willing to own stock: Post-earnings only, consider cash-secured puts at $350–$355 (accept assignment risk). Short side Safer tactically into earnings than naked calls: look to fade rejects near $470 / $500 with tight stops; cover into $354–350. Execution checklist Before earnings: No fresh longs at $425. Either wait for $350–354 or the $470 reclaim. On earnings day: If gap down into $350–354, watch for capitulation → VWAP reclaim to build a swing long. If gap up and closes > $470 with volume breadth, can initiate long → $487 / $502–$533. Risk: Keep per-trade risk ≤1% of account. Define stops before entries. This is an educational plan, not investment advice. Use your own risk controls and confirm with your system’s signals.