Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – August 28, 2025GoldOANDA:XAUUSDWavePoint_FX Momentum • D1 timeframe: Momentum is still in a bearish reversal zone (overbought). Price is stalling but has not yet given a clear reversal confirmation → showing that bullish strength is weakening. • H4 timeframe: Momentum is also turning bearish → from now until the US session, price is likely to continue sideways or decline further. • H1 timeframe: Momentum is turning bullish → suggesting a short-term corrective rally or sideways movement. Wave Structure • D1 timeframe: At the moment, there are two possible wave counts (as mentioned in yesterday’s plan). Both scenarios point to the same outcome: after completing the correction, price will move higher. o Key note: The final corrective structure is a triangle. Once this triangle completes, it typically signals a strong upward breakout, confirming the end of the corrective phase. • H4 timeframe: Price is consolidating within a contracting triangle, leaving two possibilities: 1. Leading diagonal for wave 4 (abcde) → once completed, price could drop sharply towards the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement. 2. Ending triangle for wave d → a strong wave e decline is expected before the next rally begins. In this case, the signal to watch is price testing the lower boundary of the triangle. • H1 timeframe: A leading diagonal is forming, while RSI shows bearish divergence at the top. This supports the sell scenario. However, since H1 momentum is currently bullish, we expect one more push higher into resistance at 3403, which will provide a potential short opportunity. o Note: Today’s US Jobless Claims data could trigger a stop-hunt move upward before a strong sell-off. Ahead of the news, price may continue ranging between 3385 – 3387. Trading Plan • Since price has not dropped significantly yet, it is likely still within wave 5 of the triangle. The upper resistance at 3403 is an ideal sell zone. • A safer option: wait for price to break below the triangle’s lower boundary and close beneath it → then look for a breakout sell setup. • Target: 0.618 Fibonacci retracement at 3345. Trade Setup • Sell Zone: 3403 – 3405 • Stop Loss: 3413 • Take Profits: o TP1: 3374