After narrowly avoiding relegation last season, St. Pauli will be looking to get their 2025/26 campaign off to a flying start when they host Borussia Dortmund. As for BVB, they finished last season in sensational style, and will be looking to take that form into the new term. The bookies are favouring a win for the visitors. But have they called it correctly?Borussia Dortmund to win – 8/11 with LadbrokesDortmund to win and over 1.5 goals 1/1 with SBKSerhou Guirassy to score anytime – 10/11 with ToteSt Pauli vs Dortmund oddsFind the latest St Pauli vs Dortmund betting odds here. All odds are provided by our recommended football bookmakers and are subject to change. Stay in-play between matches with bet365’s live casino! St Pauli vs Dortmund predictionsThe new campaign is the start of St Pauli’s second season back in the Bundesliga. The Hamburg based outfit gained promotion to the top flight by winning the 2.Bundesliga in the 2023/24 campaign. Their first season back in the big time was a troubled campaign, but they managed to beat the drop by finishing 14th on 32 points.The Kiezkicker will want to avoid a repeat of last season’s slow start that saw them lose their opening three matches and pick up just one point from their first four fixtures. The run saw St. Pauli stuck in the automatic relegation places, until they finally climbed out following a 3-0 win away at Freiburg on Matchday 5. League position wise, that was as bad as it got for Alexander Blessin’s team. They dropped into the relegation playoff spot a few times pre Christmas, but kept their heads just above water in the second half of the campaign and secured another season of Bundesliga football for 2025/26.Things could have got off to a better start this season. Blessin’s team needed penalties to defeat fourth-tier Eintracht Norderstedt in the first round of the DFB-Pokal last Saturday.Borussia Dortmund finished the 2024/25 season on fire. After looking down and out in the race for a Champions League place, BVB won seven of their final eight matches to sneak into fourth place on the final matchday of the season.A 2-2 draw away at Bayern was the only match BVB failed to win in their eight match unbeaten run – a sequence which included notable wins over Mainz (3-1), Freiburg (4-1) and Leverkusen (4-2). Dortmund were also one of the Bundesliga’s two representatives at the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup. Niko Kovač’s team performed well, topping Group F and defeating Monterrey 2-1 in the Round of 16. BVB’s run finally came to an end when they lost a thriller 3-2 against Real Madrid in the quarter-final.Dortmund are third favourites to win the Bundesliga at 10/1. They warmed up for the new league season with a hard fought 1-0 win over local rivals Essen in the DFB-Pokal on Monday night – Serhou Guirassy scored the only goal of the match. The only sour note was an injury to full-back Yan Couto, who was stretchered off after a horror tackle in stoppage time. Couto now looks set to join Emre Can, Niklas Sule and Nico Schlotterbeck on the sidelines for the start of the season.St Pauli vs Dortmund betting tips. 18+ GambleAware.org – Please play responsibly.St Pauli vs Dortmund betting tipsDortmund completed the double over St. Pauli last season, winning 2-1 at Signal Iduna Park and 2-0 at the Millerntor-Stadion. See if they will make it three wins from three in our match betting tips:Dortmund to start their Bundesliga campaign with a win St. Pauli will want to start the season in better form than they did in the 2024/25 campaign, when they sat bottom after three matches. However, last Saturday’s penalty shootout escape against Eintracht Norderstedt in the DFB-Pokal will do little to boost confidence. And with Dortmund also riding high after their strong finish to last season, the visitors look set to hand Alexander Blessin’s side another opening day defeat. Tip – Back Dortmund to win at 8/11 with Ladbrokes Dortmund set to score two or moreDortmund are only 8/11 to score over 1.5 goals in the match. We can see them easily achieving this against a St. Pauli team that struggled against Eintracht Norderstedt last weekend. Okay, Dortmund weren’t exactly ruthless in their 1-0 win over Rot-Weiss Essen. But we can cut them some slack, as they were probably using the cup fixture as a warm up match after their shortened preseason due to playing in the Club World Cup.We expect to see a sharper and more on their game Dortmund this Saturday. They know they can’t afford to start slowly like they did last season.Rather than back Dortmund to score over 1.5 match goals at the shorter odds, we think it makes sense to back them to win and for the match to have two or more goals at the better odds of even money.This covers scorelines like 2-0 or 2-1 to Dortmund. Tip – Back Dortmund to win and over 1.5 match goals at even money with SBK Serhou Guirassy to continue his excellent goal scoring form Serhou Guirassy has been in red hot form in recent months. He scored seven goals in seven matches at the end of the previous Bundesliga season. He then followed that up by finishing joint-top goalscorer at the FIFA Club World Cup with four goals.Guirassy has wasted no time in opening his account in the 2025/26 campaign. With Dortmund struggling to break down Rot-Weiss Essen in the first round of the DFB-Pokal on Monday, Guirassy fired home a right foot shot from outside the box on 79 minutes to settle the tie.The striker is in good form at the moment and is worth backing to continue his excellent run. Tip – Back Serhou Guirassy to score anytime at 10/11 with Tote St Pauli vs Dortmund predicted lineupsSt. Pauli expected lineup: Vaslj; Wahl, Smith, Dzwigala; Pyrka, Sands, Fujita, Oppie; Afolayan, Hountondji, Lage.Dortmund expected lineup: Kobel; Mane, Anton, Bensebaini; Ryerson, Gross, Sabitzer, Bellingham, Svensson; Guirassy, Adeyemi. Where to watch St Pauli vs DortmundLocation: Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg. Germany.Date and time: Saturday 23rd August, 5.30pm BST.How to watch: Sky Sports Football.More Bundesliga predictionsIf you’re looking for more Bundesliga predictions and betting tips from our seasoned punters, then check out our match preview page. Here you will find all the latest betting tips from not just Germany, but all the main leagues across Europe.About the authorDean EtheridgeDean Etheridge is an experienced freelance sports betting writer who specialises in football, cricket, and darts, with a keen focus on the Premier League and Champions League, as well as in-depth coverage of Premier League Darts and major tournaments. He can turn his hand to all aspects of the beautiful game and beyond, delivering expert analysis across a range of sports. He predominantly covers the Premier League and Champions League but can turn his hand to all aspects of the beautiful game. You can follow Dean on LinkedIn (@deanetheridge)Commercial content notice: Taking one of the bookmaker offers featured in this article may result in a payment to talkSPORT. 18+. T&Cs apply. 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