KDP: Post-Flush Bounce to $30–31, Risk $28.9Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.NASDAQ:KDPTWRTEAMTicker: KDP Status: Big cap, sideway on 4H/D1; 15m shows intraday bounce. Snapshot Vol/Float: ~0.02× → thin participation; rallies need volume confirmation. Beta/Volatility: Low → moves tend to be orderly but can fade without new flow. Key zones Support: 29.25–29.30 (VWAP/near low), then 28.7 → 28.0 (panel est. SL). Resistance: 30.0–30.2 (round/ORB), 31.7–32.0 (Setup Trigger), 33.0 (Capital Defense), 34.0 (Critical), then 37 / 42 higher up. Read of the Metrics Panel Vol/Float gauges buying power vs float; need ≥0.3–1.0× to sustain multi-level breaks. Gap % (Open) small (~0.2%) → low FOMO risk; trade structure > headlines. Trend/Momentum = Sideway/Normal on higher TF → treat current strength as counter-trend bounce unless 4H/D1 flips Up. Buy Signal %: 80% on 15m is good for intraday only; do not extrapolate to swing unless 4H confirms. Expected Move / TP: use to stagger exits; Estimate SL gives a volatility-aware stop band. Scenarios & Plan A) Intraday bounce (base case now) Trigger: 15m close above 29.80–30.00 with volume; hold above VWAP. TP ladder: 30.0–30.2 → 31.7–32.0 → 33.0. SL: 28.7 (tight) or 28.0–28.1 (panel). Mgmt: Take 1/3 at each TP, move stop to BE after TP1; trail under 15m EMA9/21. B) Swing to 37 → 42 (upgrade needed) Require 4H/D1 Up/Strong Up, Buy Signal ≥60–70% on 4H/D1, and Vol/Float ≥0.5–1.0×. Structure: Break & hold 32 → 33 → 34. Targets: 35–37 first, 42 as stretch if volume stays elevated. Stop: ratchet under reclaimed levels (first 32, then 33/34). C) Bear continuation Lose 29.25/VWAP and fail to reclaim in 2–3×15m with rising sell volume → fade into bounces toward resistance. Risk Risk per trade: 0.5–1.0% account (prefer 0.5–0.75% given thin flow). Size = (Account × Risk%) / (Entry − SL). Educational only; not financial advice. Obey stops and your risk cap.--- Version 2 — One-Page Playbook (Concise) Bias now: Neutral-to-tactical long on 15m; higher TF still Sideway. Enter 15m close > 29.80–30.00 and above VWAP with rising volume. Avoid entries if Vol/Float stays