Nvidia stock hits this bizarre level of valuation

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Call it a state of pre-earnings shock.At less than 24 times estimated forward earnings, Nvidia is trading not far from its lowest price-to-earnings (PE) multiple in five years. It's also well below its five-year average of roughly 38 times.And as they say in showbiz: But wait, there's more (see charts below).Nvidia's PE ratio remains near the low end of its peers in Big Tech:The Nvidia relative discount. · EvercoreISIAnd going back farther, Nvidia's stock is trading on a PE ratio at steep discounts to its nine-year median:Nvidia's stock gets cheaper. · EvercoreISISo the question here is why does the stock trade at these "low" valuation levels?It can be boiled down to three factors.One, Nvidia's valuation has compressed despite record fundamentals because investors are repricing the duration of AI spending rather than questioning its existence.Two, Nvidia is navigating a major transition from Hopper HGX systems to Blackwell chips — this brings near-term margin pressure that shows up in earnings growth rates.An analysis by Yahoo Scout reveals Nvidia's earnings per share in fiscal year 2026 will grow 57% year over year. If that were to happen, it would be far slower than 2025's growth rate of about 145%.The third factor is the law of large numbers, Evercore analyst Mark Lipacis explained."Nvidia's weight in the S&P 500 Index is 7.4%, higher than allowed by the charters of many fund managers. So, while we expect Nvidia's fundamentals to be better than the broader market, there is a headwind to its P/E ratio caused by fund managers obligated to lower their stakes in the stock as it appreciates faster than the market," Lipacis said.In the end, it will be an interesting Nvidia earnings day. Wall Street expectations are high, but the stock looks cheap. Any miss on those expectations, however, and one could definitely expect Nvidia's stock to get even cheaper.StockStory aims to help individual investors beat the market.Brian Sozzi is Yahoo Finance's Executive Editor and a member of Yahoo Finance's editorial leadership team. Follow Sozzi on X @BrianSozzi, Instagram, and LinkedIn. Tips on stories? Email brian.sozzi@yahoofinance.com.Click here for the latest technology news that will impact the stock marketRead the latest financial and business news from Yahoo FinanceTerms and Privacy PolicyPrivacy & Cookie SettingsMore InfoS&P 5006,909.76 +0.25 (+0.00%)Dow 3049,678.63 +52.66 (+0.11%)Nasdaq22,855.95 -30.12 (-0.13%)Russell 20002,663.78 -1.31 (-0.05%)VIX20.08 +0.99 (+5.19%)Gold5,181.20 +100.30 (+1.97%)Trending tickersBTC-USD Bitcoin USD 66,114.96 -1,492.12 (-2.21%)NVO Novo Nordisk A/S 40.20 -7.22 (-15.23%)LLY Eli Lilly and Company 1,047.92 +38.23 (+3.79%)VNDA Vanda Pharmaceuticals Inc. 7.86 +2.10 (+36.42%)NOVO-B.CO Novo Nordisk A/S 254.45 -46.55 (-15.47%)PortfolioSign in to access your portfolioSign inTop gainersRNG RingCentral, Inc. 39.27 -0.23 (-0.58%)LGN Legence Corp. 54.87 -0.38 (-0.68%)TLX Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited 6.88 -0.81 (-10.53%)SYRE Spyre Therapeutics, Inc. 43.18 -0.03 (-0.07%)FSM Fortuna Mining Corp. 12.33 +0.06 (+0.49%)Top losersFROG JFrog Ltd. 38.01 +0.26 (+0.69%)DNOW DNOW Inc. 13.02 -0.20 (-1.49%)CC The Chemours Company 16.79 -0.24 (-1.41%)AKAM Akamai Technologies, Inc. 93.76 -0.42 (-0.44%)RGC Regencell Bioscience Holdings Limited 29.17 -4.29 (-12.82%)Most activeNVDA NVIDIA Corporation 191.42 +1.59 (+0.84%)OPEN Opendoor Technologies Inc. 4.9200 -0.0800 (-1.60%)ONDS Ondas Inc. 9.94 -0.09 (-0.90%)INTC Intel Corporation 44.22 +0.11 (+0.25%)PLUG Plug Power Inc. 1.8500 -0.0200 (-1.08%)Top economic eventsEarnings eventsMy earnings eventsEarnings events