A Less From Backtesing Eur/aud

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A Less From Backtesing Eur/audEUR/AUDOANDA:EURAUDbrodjr8A Lesson From Backtesting EUR/AUD (Using TradingView Replay) I opened TradingView, turned on the Replay feature, and scrolled all the way back to February 2025. From there, I tested forward through April 2025 — two full months of price action. Here’s what I found: **My setup DID appear… but every single one would’ve been a loser.** Not because the candle was wrong. Not because the rules were wrong. But because the context was terrible every time: huge candles to the left no clean structure no room for the trade to breathe unsafe stop placement no logical target This is the part beginners never understand: **A valid candle doesn’t mean a valid trade. Context decides everything.** The Trendy Kangaroo Showed Up More… But I Didn’t Take It While backtesting, I noticed something interesting: The “trendy kangaroo” (my other candle) showed up way more often. And honestly, some of them looked clean. But I didn’t take them. Why? Because I’m sticking to one setup. One candle. One identity. One process. That’s how you become a trade specialist, not a strategy collector. The Data Spoke Fast In just 20 minutes of replay testing: I went back to Feb 2025 I tested forward to April 2025 I saw multiple appearances of my candle Every single one would’ve hit stop loss That’s enough information to eliminate the pair for my system. Important: This Doesn’t Mean You Can’t Trade EUR/AUD This is the key point I want people to understand: **EUR/AUD isn’t “bad.” It just doesn’t work for my setup.** Someone using: a trend‑based system a breakout system a kangaroo‑tail variation a momentum strategy might do great on this pair. But for my one candle, my rules, and my context filters, EUR/AUD simply doesn’t respect the setup. And that’s the whole point of backtesting: **You’re not judging the pair. You’re judging the compatibility between the pair and your setup.**