New Backtest: Shopify (SHOP)Shopify, Inc. Class ABATS:SHOPAdamMagnussonI have identified an exceptionally high-conviction quantitative setup for Shopify. The historical data shows a massive statistical edge that accelerates significantly as the trade matures, reaching elite win rates for mid-to-long-term holding periods. Key Statistics: Signal: Price close over MA20 Historical Win Rate (1 Year): 80,00% Average Return (1 Year): +74,79% Backtest Period: 2015 – 2026 Analysis: The data suggests that SHOP is one of the most explosive trend-followers in the current market once it clears its 20-day moving average. While the first two months show some volatility with win rates around 58-61%, the setup develops a powerful edge starting at the 3-month mark. The results for long-term holders are extraordinary. At the 6-month mark, the win rate hits 77,78% with an average return of +18,22%. However, the real "sweet spot" is the 1-year horizon, where the win rate climbs to 80,00% and the average return sky-rockets to +74,79%. This setup highlights Shopify's historical tendency to enter massive, sustained momentum phases after clearing short-term resistance.