Politics is famously unpredictable. And yet, for decades, there’s been a relentless effort to tame it — to turn chaos into math.First came polling averages, smoothing out the noise and promising clarity. Then the models arrived, layering assumptions on top of assumptions to generate tidy probabilities. .memberful-global-teaser-content p:last-child{ -webkit-mask-image: linear-gradient(180deg, #000 0%, transparent); mask-image: linear-gradient(180deg, #000 0%, transparent); } Join now to continue reading.Members get exclusive analysis, bonus features and no advertising. Learn more.If you’re already a member, sign in to your account.