Why Some Investors Are Moving to Cash in 2026: Is That a Mistake?

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As of the end of February, there was approximately $8.25 trillion sitting in money market funds, a new all-time record high. It's also a sharp increase from the roughly $5 trillion parked in these funds as recently as 2022.The environment is looking a little reminiscent of 2022. Inflation risk is on the rise. Interest rates are moving aggressively higher. Stocks and bonds are both moving lower together. Gold is sharply off of its highs from earlier this year. Every major asset class is moving lower, so cash looks like the only viable spot to look for safety.Will AI create the world's first trillionaire? Our team just released a report on the one little-known company, called an "Indispensable Monopoly" providing the critical technology Nvidia and Intel both need. Continue »The problem with all of that cash moving into money market funds is that it's missing out on stock market returns.Image source: Getty Images.Even if we go back to the start of 2022, which was just prior to the bear market and when the amount of cash sitting in money market funds was increasing, the total return for the S&P 500 would have been 42%. The total return for the Vanguard Federal Money Market Fund over that same time was 18%.^SPXTR data by YChartsPutting and keeping that money in the S&P 500, of course, would have required some resilience. The index fell more than 20% in 2022. Then it fell nearly 20% again about a year ago. Right now, it's about 8% off its high. Yet despite all the drawdowns, volatility, and ups and downs, an investment in the S&P 500 would have more than doubled the return of cash.The conditions driving negative investor sentiment right now are valid. The market has priced out virtually any possibility of a rate cut this year, traditionally a bullish catalyst for stocks. The Iran conflict has pushed oil prices to their highest level since 2022. The U.S. economy is slowing down, and the labor market is struggling to generate any consistent job growth. Those factors certainly justify a pullback in stock prices.But the big catalyst in the short term is clearly the Iran conflict. As long as it drags on without resolution, investors are unlikely to want to bid up stock prices too high.It's in the longer-term view that the bullish argument for buying stocks here makes more sense. Geopolitical disputes are often short term in nature. Market volatility tends to rise as these events are happening, only to see conditions largely return to normal once they reach a conclusion.Terms and Privacy PolicyPrivacy & Cookie SettingsMore InfoTrending tickersBTC-USD Bitcoin USD 67,326.81 -51.09 (-0.08%)ETH-USD Ethereum USD 2,054.74 -1.21 (-0.06%)XRP-USD XRP USD 1.30 -0.02 (-1.19%)SPCE Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. 2.4600 +0.0600 (+2.50%)SOL-USD Solana USD 79.65 -1.44 (-1.78%)PortfolioSign in to access your portfolioSign inTop gainersAAOI Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. 103.91 +17.56 (+20.34%)SBAC SBA Communications Corporation 204.04 +32.48 (+18.93%)YSS York Space Systems, Inc. 28.03 +4.43 (+18.77%)VSAT Viasat, Inc. 53.69 +8.46 (+18.70%)LUNR Intuitive Machines, Inc. 23.99 +3.75 (+18.53%)Top losersKNF Knife River Corporation 73.91 -8.20 (-9.99%)WIX Wix.com Ltd. 81.95 -8.55 (-9.45%)PBH Prestige Consumer Healthcare Inc. 52.48 -5.20 (-9.02%)ENPH Enphase Energy, Inc. 34.92 -3.36 (-8.78%)RGC Regencell Bioscience Holdings Limited 30.80 -2.92 (-8.66%)Most activeNVDA NVIDIA Corporation 177.39 +1.64 (+0.93%)INTC Intel Corporation 50.38 +2.35 (+4.89%)NOK Nokia Oyj 8.82 +0.55 (+6.65%)PLUG Plug Power Inc. 2.4100 +0.1600 (+7.11%)TSLA Tesla, Inc. 360.59 -20.67 (-5.42%)Top economic eventsEarnings eventsMy earnings eventsEarnings events