Are Rising Geopolitical Tensions a Reason to Sell Taiwan Semiconductor Stock?

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creating in that part of the world, it reminds some investors of the tensions going on between Taiwan and China over who is actually in charge of Taiwan. This is concerning because TSMC produces over 90% of the world's most advanced semiconductors, and most of that production takes place in Taiwan.Will AI create the world's first trillionaire? Our team just released a report on the one little-known company, called an "Indispensable Monopoly" providing the critical technology Nvidia and Intel both need. Continue »Now, the question for investors is whether they should sell TSMC stock. Let's take a closer look to see if the situation has changed.Image source: TSMC.Without question, TSMC's location has always deterred some investors. In 2022, Warren Buffett's lieutenants at Berkshire Hathaway took a position in TSMC stock, but because Buffett was fearful of its geopolitical situation, Berkshire reversed this decision within a few months.Moreover, TSMC stock had traded at a discount in past years amid that fear. Still, that has changed over time as its P/E ratio of 31 is well above its five-year average of 24 and not far below the 36 earnings multiple of Nvidia, one of its top clients.Furthermore, China made up only 9% of TSMC's revenue in 2025, well below the 74% coming from North America. Thus, having TSMC out of the picture might look like a strategic advantage to China from that standpoint, and that could partially explain the dip in the stock since the beginning of March.However, the company expects more good times in 2026, indicating that investors have good reason not to sell immediately. China also lacks the capability to produce these more advanced semiconductors. Hence, it still needs TSMC if it wants to advance its own technology.Also, if not for Taiwan's security, that technical lead would make TSMC one of the safest stocks in existence. Investors should note that even with the risks, it generated over $122 billion in revenue in 2025, a 32% increase from year-ago levels.Additionally, the international community has not abandoned Taiwan. Despite the U.S.'s focus on Iran, the U.S. Navy has maintained a presence in the Taiwan Strait.Consequently, the prediction market Polymarket estimates a 16% chance of a military clash between Taiwan and China this year. It might surprise investors that this is virtually unchanged since the beginning of March, when the Iran conflict began, a strong indication that it is business as usual for TSMC.Terms and Privacy PolicyPrivacy & Cookie SettingsMore InfoTrending tickersUGRO urban-gro, Inc. 6.15 +3.97 (+182.11%)ASML ASML Holding N.V. 1,369.62 +52.37 (+3.98%)QS QuantumScape Corporation 7.05 +0.46 (+6.98%)EL The Estée Lauder Companies Inc. 79.29 -6.63 (-7.72%)GM General Motors Company 75.72 +2.91 (+4.00%)PortfolioSign in to access your portfolioSign inTop gainersPAYP PayPay Corporation 24.11 +4.21 (+21.16%)APGE Apogee Therapeutics, Inc. 79.24 +13.20 (+19.99%)AXTI AXT, Inc. 64.44 +10.20 (+18.81%)FSLY Fastly, Inc. 28.75 +3.55 (+14.09%)LUNR Intuitive Machines, Inc. 20.31 +2.48 (+13.91%)Top losersSEDG SolarEdge Technologies, Inc. 46.73 -4.96 (-9.60%)RGC Regencell Bioscience Holdings Limited 25.22 -2.15 (-7.87%)EL The Estée Lauder Companies Inc. 79.29 -6.63 (-7.72%)ENPH Enphase Energy, Inc. 40.76 -3.35 (-7.59%)LBRT Liberty Energy Inc. 29.11 -2.34 (-7.44%)Most activeNVDA NVIDIA Corporation 175.64 +2.71 (+1.57%)CDE Coeur Mining, Inc. 17.89 +0.22 (+1.25%)SMCI Super Micro Computer, Inc. 21.58 +1.05 (+5.11%)ONDS Ondas Inc. 10.90 +0.82 (+8.19%)AAL American Airlines Group Inc. 10.81 +0.38 (+3.64%)Top economic eventsEarnings eventsMy earnings eventsEarnings events