The Safe-Haven Silent Treatment: Why Gold Is Sinking as Middle East Tensions Soar 2

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':"";if(r){var a=n.promos.showYahooLogo?"":"yns-no-logo";r=r.replace("{notifOnboardBtnLabel}",n.promos.notifOnboardBtnLabel).replace("{notifOnboardMsg}",n.promos.notifOnboardMsg).replace("{subscriptionTopic}",n.promos.subscriptionTopic).replace("{noLogoClass}",a).replace("{promoLogo}",n.promos.promoLogo)}var s=t.newCount>n.panel.maxCount?t.newCount:"",c=n.panel.notificationCenterPath,l=c?"":R,u=n.panel.headerMsg?"":" "+R,d=c?U:"",p=void 0;t.count?p=t.markup:p='{emptyPanelMsg}'.replace("{emptyPanelMsg}",n.panel.emptyPanelMsg);return e=e.replace("{notifMarkup}",p).replace("{promoMarkup}",r).replace("{hideClass}",l).replace("{notifCenterLink}",c).replace("{paddingClass}",d).replace("{headerMsg}",n.panel.headerMsg).replace("{hideHeaderClass}",u).replace(/{notificationCenterNavMsg}/g,n.panel.notificationCenterNavMsg).replace(/{newCount}/g,s)}},{key:"render",value:function(e,t){var n=this;if(n._panelNode){var o=void 0,i=n._panelNode,r=void 0,a=void 0;switch(e){case"expanded_panel":o='{promoMarkup}{notifMarkup}',a=n._store.getNotifications(),r=n._generatePanelMarkup(o,a),i.innerHTML=r;break;case"error_panel":r=(o='{errorMsg}').replace("{errorMsg}",n._config.panel.errorMsg),i.innerHTML=r}t&&t()}else t&&t(new Error("No panel parent"))}},{key:"createPanelParentNode",value:function(e){e&&(e.innerHTML='',this._panelNode=document.getElementById(P))}},{key:"updateBadgeNode",value:function(e){if(e){var t=this._store.getNotifications().newCount,n=this._config.badge.maxCount;if(t){var o=t>n?n+"+":t;e.innerHTML=o}else e.innerHTML=""}}},{key:"addStyles",value:function(e){if(e&&"undefined"!=typeof window){var t=document.getElementById(this._config.panel.styleTagId);t||((t=document.createElement("style")).type="text/css",t.id=this._config.panel.styleTagId,t.innerText=e,document.head.appendChild(t))}}}]),e}(),j=function(){function e(t,n,o){E(this,e);var i=this;i._store=n,i._view=o,i._config=t;var r=i._config.panel;i._panelParentNode=document.querySelector(r.parentSelector),i._badgeNode=i._config.badge.selector&&document.querySelector(i._config.badge.selector),i._indicatorNode=r.indicatorSelector&&document.querySelector(r.indicatorSelector)}return C(e,[{key:"createPanelParentNode",value:function(){this._view.createPanelParentNode(this._panelParentNode),this._notifPanelNode=document.getElementById(P)}},{key:"refreshPanelNode",value:function(e,t){var n=this;M(n._notifPanelNode,B),n._store.fetchNotifications(e,(function(e,o){var i=window.wafer&&window.wafer.base;i&&i.destroy(n._notifPanelNode),e?n._notifPanelNode.innerHTML||(n._view.render("error_panel"),M(n._notifPanelNode,B)):(n._view.render("expanded_panel"),n._view.updateBadgeNode(n._badgeNode),n._showBadge(),n._showIndicator(),n._view.addStyles(o.css)),I(n._notifPanelNode,B),i&&i.sync(n._notifPanelNode.parentNode),t&&t(e,o)}))}},{key:"resetBadge",value:function(){var e=this;e._store.resetNewCount(),e._view.updateBadgeNode(e._badgeNode),M(e._badgeNode,e._config.badge.hideClass)}},{key:"_showIndicator",value:function(){this._indicatorNode&&(this._store.getNotifications().newCount?M(this._indicatorNode,this._config.panel.indicatorClass):I(this._indicatorNode,this._config.panel.indicatorClass))}},{key:"_showBadge",value:function(){var e=this;e._store.getNotifications().newCount?I(e._badgeNode,e._config.badge.hideClass):M(e._badgeNode,e._config.badge.hideClass)}}]),e}(),F={promos:{eligibleBodyClass:"display-push-promos",enableNotifOnboard:!0,bypassEligibleClassCheck:!1,notifOnboardBtnLabel:"Notify Me",notifOnboardMsg:"Get alerts for breaking news and top stories",promoLogo:"https://s.yimg.com/cv/apiv2/ae/news/circle_bell.png",showYahooLogo:!0,subscriptionTopic:"gondor_homerun_news"},badge:{hideClass:"",maxCount:5,selector:""},panel:{emptyPanelMsg:"You have no new 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n=e.getConfig();if("smartphone"===n.device){if("finance"===n.property&&"crunch"===n.ytheme&&e.addElementListener(t.searchInput,"click",(function(){var n,o;n="search_input_focus_click",null!==(o=ae())&&(oe[n]||(oe[n]=o)),e.addElementListener(t.searchForm,"click",(function(){if(t.ybar){if(t.ybar.classList.contains("ybar-searchbox-assist-fullscreen"))return;t.ybar.classList.add("ybar-searchbox-assist-fullscreen"),t.ybar.classList.add("ybar-searchbox-assist-fadein")}if(!document.documentElement.classList.contains("ybar-overlay")){document.documentElement.classList.toggle("ybar-overlay"),document.body.classList.add("ybar-overlay-noscroll");te("ybar","websrch","",{elm:"expand",subsec:"searchbox",itc:"1"})}}))})),e.addElementListener(t.searchBoxPlaceholder,"click",(function(){zt(e,t)})),e.addElementListener(t.searchBoxPlaceholder,"keydown",(function(n){var 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n,o,i,r=e.getConfig();if(t.ybar&&["desktop","tablet"].includes(r.device)&&(null===(n=r.bucketConfig)||void 0===n?void 0:n.highlight_searchassist)&&(null===(o=r.bucketConfig)||void 0===o?void 0:o.overlay_class)){t.ybar.setAttribute("data-ovrly-bkt",r.bucketConfig.overlay_class),null===(i=t.searchForm)||void 0===i||i.classList.add(Ft[r.bucketConfig.overlay_class]);var a=document.createElement("div");a.classList.add(Ft.overlay,Ft[r.bucketConfig.overlay_class]),document.body.appendChild(a),e.onDestroy((function(){document.body.removeChild(a)})),e.addElementListener(t.searchForm,"focusout",(function(e){if(t.searchForm&&t.searchInput){var n=e.relatedTarget;n&&!t.searchForm.contains(n)&&window.YAHOO.SA&&window.YAHOO.SA.apps&&window.YAHOO.SA.apps[0]&&window.YAHOO.SA.apps[0].view.shown&&window.YAHOO.SA.apps[0].view.hide()}}))}}(e,o),Vt(e,o),o.searchGradientBorder){var i=!1;o.searchInput.addEventListener("keydown",(function(e){var 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But as the first weeks of the Iran conflict have demonstrated, the relationship between geopolitical risk and gold prices is neither simple nor automatic. It is mediated by interest rates, currency dynamics, investor positioning, and the specific stage of the economic cycle at which a shock arrives.For a deeper dive into why the gold market is currently prioritizing liquidity and interest rate expectations over its traditional safe-haven role, see the first part of our analysis.As Mark Haefele, chief investment officer at UBS Global Wealth Management, has noted, gold’s behavior during both Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in 2022 and earlier Middle East crises followed a recognizable pattern.First, an initial price jump driven by panic buying, followed by a retreat as investors sought liquidity and reallocated toward more directly conflict-linked assets. The metal is, in his framing, a hedge against the broader and longer-term consequences of conflict rather than a pure real-time war instrument.This distinction matters for understanding what comes next.Weekly Gold Prices – Source: TradingViewGold remains, even at current prices, substantially higher than it was a year ago. As of Tuesday morning, gold was trading around $4,400 per ounce, representing a gain of more than $1,400 from the same moment twelve months earlier. The structural arguments that powered its extraordinary run — geopolitical fragmentation, the gradual erosion of confidence in the dollar-dominated financial system, elevated sovereign debt levels across the developed world, and persistent central bank buying — have not disappeared.They have, if anything, intensified. A war in the Middle East, whatever its short-term impact on the gold price, does not resolve the deeper anxieties that drove investors toward the metal in the first place.The major financial institutions are reflecting this view in their medium-term forecasts. They reflect a conviction that once the current wave of profit-taking and forced liquidation runs its course, the underlying thesis for gold ownership remains intact, and that a stagflationary environment — which is what a prolonged energy shock and simultaneous monetary tightening tends to produce — is historically one of the most fertile conditions for the metal.If you believe it’s time to enter the gold market, there are different options.Terms and Privacy PolicyPrivacy & Cookie SettingsMore InfoTrending tickersAMD Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. 220.27 +14.90 (+7.26%)UGRO urban-gro, Inc. 36.29 +29.27 (+416.95%)BTC-USD Bitcoin USD 71,345.95 +1,002.59 (+1.43%)DKNG DraftKings Inc. 21.42 -1.89 (-8.11%)SRPT Sarepta Therapeutics, Inc. 23.77 +6.16 (+34.98%)PortfolioSign in to access your portfolioSign inTop gainersSRPT Sarepta Therapeutics, Inc. 23.77 +6.16 (+34.98%)BRZE Braze, Inc. 21.60 +3.58 (+19.87%)CORT Corcept Therapeutics Incorporated 40.47 +6.65 (+19.66%)ARM Arm Holdings plc 157.07 +22.11 (+16.38%)FLY Firefly Aerospace Inc. 27.53 +3.80 (+16.01%)Top losersADMA ADMA Biologics, Inc. 9.63 -1.70 (-15.00%)DAVE Dave Inc. 181.01 -25.39 (-12.30%)ONON On Holding AG 35.16 -4.43 (-11.19%)FRMI Fermi Inc. 6.66 -0.80 (-10.72%)FUBO FuboTV Inc. 10.85 -1.17 (-9.73%)Most activeNVDA NVIDIA Corporation 178.68 +3.48 (+1.99%)INTC Intel Corporation 47.18 +3.12 (+7.08%)ONDS Ondas Inc. 10.31 -0.37 (-3.46%)TERN Terns Pharmaceuticals, Inc. 52.86 +2.86 (+5.72%)AAL American Airlines Group Inc. 10.74 +0.03 (+0.28%)Top economic eventsEarnings eventsMy earnings eventsEarnings events