USDRUB - Roadmap Update - 26.03.2026U.S. DOLLAR / RUSSIAN RUBLEFX_IDC:USDRUBSinnSeedUpdate of the related idea from 25.01.2026 First part worked out perfectly. It needs a little redrawing. Latest notes from the previous idea: Oil and gas companies focused on exports have significant foreign currency revenue. At the same time, they pay corporate income tax (rate 25% from 2025, previously 20%). The base is taxable profit under RAS (revenue minus expenses, including MET as costs). Declaration — new form from 2026 (Federal Tax Service Order). For the year — until March 25 of the following year (for 2025 — until 25.03.2026). Reporting periods: quarterly (by the 25th after the quarter) or monthly (if they pay advances based on actual profit — by the 25th of the following month). Also, the weakening of the ruble (growth of the dollar/euro exchange rate) increases ruble revenue from exports → taxable profit grows. In the 2025 reporting, the strengthening of the ruble (the ruble rose against the dollar by ~20–25%) led to positive exchange rate differences, which helped to show profit under RAS (a decrease in the ruble amount of foreign currency debt reduced expenses). In short, when Sechin and Miller submitted their reports, after the 20th there is no point in keeping the currency rate strong. A weak ruble is beneficial for hydrocarbon exports. A strong ruble is beneficial for reporting. Will you say “coincidence”? Possibly. But our goal as traders is to look for recurring “coincidences” in order to make money. Technically, I redrew it a bit. I am not expecting a fall. The goal of our oligarchs is to maximize earnings on exports. High oil prices will push towards ruble weakening. The conflict with Iran contributes to this. The correction worked out at 61.8% as per the ascending trend. Extension target — 91.1187 Possible correction to 86.22 (as in a strong trend) Possible weakening to 95 rubles. After the first of April, FNB statistics will be released. We are also monitoring the development of the conflict in Iran.