EURUSD under pressureEuro/US DollarFX:EURUSDmiketigerClosed at 1.1513. The weekly candle has a negative expansion body with a minimum lower wick, indicating that the selling pressure did not find exhaustion, , while Oil flees upwards. This accumulated pressure will be released early next week. Target Next Week is The Golden Area break (1.1494) will open a direct path to 1.1420 (Target 2), especially if Brent tests 112.10. Momentum Exhaustion (COT USD 82%): Net positioning purchased in USD is at extreme levels. This means that almost all institutional capital is already "inside" the trade. Without new buyers, the Dollar is vulnerable to a violent correction if there is a news of diplomatic relief in the Strait of Ormuz or a US CPI inflation data below the expected . Short Squeeze Risk (COT JPY 08%): The Yen reached the extreme capitulation percentile. Historically, levels below 10% precede interventions by the Ministry of Finance of Japan (MoF). A physical intervention near 161.50 (Target 2 for USDJPY) may cause a kinematic reversal that would momentarily destroy the USDJPY Bullish bias . Yields Ceiling (COT US10Y 15%): Bond contracts are oversold, which indicates that rates (Yields) have reached a level of technical exhaustion. If U.S. Treasury yields begin to retreat, the fundamental support for the fall of EUR/USD and the rise of USD/JPY disappears, forcing a re-accumulation or structural reversal (MSS Inverse). Resuming, the fall scenario of EURUSD to 1.1420 remains valid and supported by the COT, but the entry into new positions should be made with increased caution, because the market is "trettensed" to the maximum. The closing of the DXY above 100.20 confirms that the Dollar is the only viable value reserve in the current geopolitical scenario.