Trump’s Iran Dilemma

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Washington Post: “The Strait of Hormuz — which was open and secure before the fighting began — is now a danger zone. And many U.S. allies among the Arab states lining the Persian Gulf, who were skeptical about the war in the first place, now fear that a wounded Iran run by hard-line leaders imperils their populations.”“That leaves the United States with a dilemma, part of which Trump summed up in a cabinet meeting on Thursday in which he talked about shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.”Said Trump: “The problem with the straits is this. Let’s say we do a great job. We say we got 99 percent. One percent is unacceptable, because one percent is a missile going into the hull of a ship that cost $1 billion. If we do a 99 percent decimation, that’s no good.”“What Trump didn’t say explicitly, but what Iranian officials appear to be counting on, is that the 99-1 asymmetry gives Tehran significant leverage despite being badly outgunned by the combined U.S. and Israeli bombardment.”