CHKP Breakdown: Bearish Weekly Structure, Downside Targets at $1Check Point Software Technologies Ltd.BATS:CHKPOmorfusThis is one of the short positions we opened today in the premium channel, and it may still be timely to consider. ✅ Check Point Software #CHKP is a major player in cybersecurity, developing an integrated security platform for networks, cloud environments, workspaces, and AI-related infrastructure. 📊 FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS 🟢 The business remains highly profitable: in 2025, revenue reached $2.725 billion (+6% YoY), security subscription revenue grew by 10%, and non-GAAP EPS rose to $11.89 (+30% YoY). 🟢 The company has a strong liquidity position: cash, marketable securities, and short-term deposits totaled $4.342 billion at the end of 2025, while operating cash flow for the year came in at $1.234 billion. 🟢 Management continues to support shareholders through buybacks: in 2025, the company repurchased about 6.8 million shares for approximately $1.4 billion. 🔴 Overall business growth remains moderate: revenue increased just 6% for the year, which is not especially strong for the tech and cybersecurity sector. 🔴 The company operates in a highly competitive space: key rivals include Palo Alto Networks, Fortinet, Cisco, Zscaler, CrowdStrike, SentinelOne, Microsoft, and others. Rising competition may pressure pricing and market share. 🔴 In late 2025, the company completed the Lakera AI acquisition for about $190 million and simultaneously raised around $2 billion through convertible notes. This strengthens the AI narrative, but also adds integration and execution risk. 🛠 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS 📉 SHORT ▪️ On the weekly chart, price broke below the key Pivot P zone at 156.01 and fell under the long-term rising support line ▪️ Price is trading below both the 50 EMA and the 200 EMA on the higher timeframe, confirming a clearly bearish structure ▪️ The latest downside impulse shows strong selling pressure, and attempts to reclaim 150–156 keep failing ▪️ RSI is pointing lower, remains below its signal line, and shows no signs of reversal strength ▪️ OsMA remains in negative territory, which confirms bearish momentum ▪️ As long as price stays below 150–156, the downside remains the priority scenario ↘️ TRADE 🎯 Target 1: $130.17 🎯 Target 2: $108.77 🎯 Target 3: $78.05 📊 Potential downside to T3: approximately 45% 💼 Portfolio: #active_management ⚠️ The ideas published are not investment recommendations. They reflect only the private opinion of the author.