NZDCAD SELL TRADE PLANNew Zealand Dollar vs Canadian DollarICMARKETS:NZDCADjibkhan111PAIR: NZDCAD State: Transitioning Scan Outcome: Sell-Side Focus Map Status: ACTIVE Price State: Near PENDING Decision Pivot: 0.8035 — This is the immediate H4 reclaim / rejection line. Holding below keeps the sell-side map valid; acceptance above 0.8035–0.8050 weakens the immediate bearish retest setup. Pivot Projection: Rejection — 71% Probability Macro Bias: CAD support / NZD mixed-soft. The Bank of Canada held policy at 2.25%, while oil remains elevated after the latest geopolitical shock, keeping CAD’s energy-linked backdrop supported. RBNZ also held OCR at 2.25%, but warned that Middle East developments could lift inflation while weakening New Zealand’s recovery. Macro Alignment: Slightly aligned with NZDCAD downside. CAD has the cleaner commodity support because WTI is still trading above the $100 area, while NZD remains more mixed and sensitive to global risk / China sentiment. Event Risk: MEDIUM-HIGH — CAD remains sensitive to oil and post-BoC repricing; NZD remains sensitive to China/risk sentiment and RBNZ inflation-growth concerns. Sell Zones 0.8020–0.8040 (A | 77% | Reactive) — H4 breakdown-retest / lower-high sell zone after price displaced below the prior shelf and bounced back into it. Hard SL: 0.8065 — Structural Invalidation HTF Target Ladder TP1: 0.7980 TP2: 0.7930 TP3: 0.7885 only after clean H4/D1 acceptance below 0.7930 Priority Stronger Side: Sell Side Stronger Best Zone: 0.8020–0.8040 Sell Conditional Watch Track 1: Wait for price to reject from 0.8020–0.8040 before treating the sell as live. Track 2: If price closes a full H4 body below 0.7960, wait for retest of 0.7960–0.7980. Sell only if the retest fails, with Hard SL at 0.8015, targeting 0.7930, then 0.7885 only after acceptance below 0.7930. Alert Note Set primary sell-zone alert at 0.8020–0.8040. Set invalidation alert at 0.8065. Set Track 2 breakdown alert at 0.7960. Set target alerts at 0.7980, 0.7930, and conditional 0.7885. Action Plan: NZDCAD is a Track 1 Value Hunting sell first because price has bounced back into the H4 retest shelf, but we do not sell blindly unless the zone rejects. If rejection holds below 0.8035–0.8040, the realistic HTF path is 0.7980 first, then 0.7930. If price breaks below 0.7960 before giving a clean rejection, the plan shifts into Track 2 Momentum Raider only after a retest, with SL clearly defined at 0.8015.