EURAUD 4HR CHART.EUR/AUDOANDA:EURAUDShavyfxhubTHE CURRENT EXCHANGE RATE CLOSE OF FRIDAY FINANCIAL WINDOW ACROSS ALL BANKS/CENTRAL BANKS FOR EURAUD IS 1.62743 TECHNICAL TRADING STRATEGY TO NOTE. (1) The AU10Y market structure( price action on demand or supply) (2) The RBA cash rate and upcoming MPC meetings (3) EU10Y market structure( price action on demand or supply) (4) the market structure on multi timeframe(yearly,6months,3months,monthly,weekly,daily,4hrs.3hrs...entry is 1hr/30min/15min only . the strategy outlook in context. AU10Y=(Australian government 10 year treasury bond yield = 5.015% RBA RATE=4.1% the next update will be may 5th what is RBA cash rate ?? The RBA cash rate is the interest rate that banks pay to borrow funds from other banks in the money market overnight. It influences all other interest rates, including mortgage and deposit rates. In technical terms, it is the interest rate on unsecured overnight loans between banks (loans banks use to manage their liquidity) The cash rate has a strong influence over interest rates in the economy, such as lending and deposit rates. In turn, these interest rates influence economic activity, employment and inflation. This affects all Australians, not just those with a mortgage. RBA consumer price index 4.6% the next update is 27 may THE HEAD OF RBA(reserve bank of Australia)= the head of RBA is Michele bullock EU10Y=3.042% the head of ECB=The President of the European Central Bank (ECB) is Christine Lagarde, who has held the position since November 2019. She leads the ECB's decision-making bodies, including the Governing Council, which is responsible for setting monetary policy for the eurozone. ECB Interest Rates The ECB Governing Council sets three key interest rates to steer monetary policy and manage liquidity in the banking sector. As of April 2026, the current rates, which have been effective since June 11, 2025, are as follows: Main Refinancing Operations 2.15% Marginal Lending Facility 2.40% Deposit Facility 2.00% current inflation is 3.0% and the mandate is 2% the meaning of all the three rate set by ECB governing council Deposit Facility (2.00%) The deposit facility lets banks park excess cash overnight with the European Central Bank (ECB), earning 2.00% interest. This rate acts as a floor for short-term market rates, helping absorb extra liquidity and signaling the ECB's policy stance. Main Refinancing Operations (2.15%) These are weekly auctions where the ECB lends money to banks for one week at a fixed 2.15% rate, using collateral. They supply most liquidity to the banking system and steer interbank interest rates as the ECB's main policy tool. Marginal Lending Facility This allows banks to borrow cash overnight from the ECB at a penalty rate (typically above the main rate, like 2.40%), also using collateral. It provides urgent liquidity when market options run dry, capping short-term rates. The Governing Council continues to utilize these rates to maintain price stability, with a primary goal of keeping inflation at 2% over the medium term. The interest rates remained unchanged during the most recent policy meeting in March 2026. THE HEAD OF ECB(European central bank)=President Christine Lagarde and Vice-President Luis de Guindos the interest rate differential=2.1% favour EURAUD sell the bond yield differential=1.973 % favour EURAUD sell. the UIP=Uncovered Interest Parity (UIP) is a key forex theory stating that the difference in interest rates between two currencies should equal the expected change in their exchange rate. It assumes no arbitrage opportunities exist without hedging, so higher-yielding currencies (like AUD here) are expected to depreciate against lower-yielding ones (like EUR). How UIP Works UIP predicts that if EUR rates (e.g., 2.15% main refinancing) are lower than AUD rates by 2.1%, the EUR should appreciate against AUD by about that amount over the period, offsetting the interest differential. noted differentials (2.1% interest, 1.973% bond yield) favoring "EURAUD sell" align with UIP: sell EURAUD (short EUR/buy AUD) if AUD's higher yields aren't fully offset by expected EUR strength. the carry trade advantage = favor AUD sell the market structure rejected daily supply roof as illustrated and we are seeing sell momentum with correction on the key demand floors if possible. the market structure on multi-timeframe with special emphasis on 4hr/3hr for daily trade decision due to the complexity in higher time frame into getting into trade with minimal loss or stoploss. #GOODLUCK SEE YOU AT THE TOP #EURAUD #EU10Y #AU10Y