USDCHF SELL TRADE PLANUS Dollar vs Swiss FrancICMARKETS:USDCHFjibkhan111PAIR & DATE: USDCHF – 29 Aug 2025 PLAN OVERVIEW: * Category: Intra-Day * Trade Type: Sweep-Reversal / Continuation Mix * Direction: * Primary: SELL (with trend & macro bias) * Confidence: Primary 78%, Alternate 72% * Min R:R: 1:3 * Status: VALID MACRO ALIGNMENT NOTE: * Primary: WITH Trend & WITH Macro Bias → USD weak macro backdrop, CHF stable to strong; continuation lower expected if zone holds. LEVELS CARD (Quick Action) Primary Setup (Higher Probability – SELL) * Entry: 0.80450 – 0.80550 (H4 supply + unmitigated OB after sweep of liquidity highs) * Stop Loss: 0.80800 (above supply & liquidity) * TP1: 0.80000 * TP2: 0.79650 * TP3: 0.79350 * Order: Market on confirmation (H1 engulf/BOS) * Session: London / NY overlap EXECUTION CHECKLIST: 1. News gate (15m pre / 30–60m post red events). 2. Price taps zone in session. 3. Confirmation: H1/H4 engulf / pin / BOS. 4. Execute order type as defined. 5. Partial at TP1 → SL BE → trail. 6. Exit on invalidation breach. 7. Skip if no trigger. FUNDAMENTALS & NEWS: * CB Bias: Fed leaning dovish; SNB steady, inflation low, policy supportive of CHF. * Key Data (7d): US jobless claims, PCE, GDP prints; SNB no major events. * Cross-Asset: DXY in structural downtrend; US yields soft; risk-off bid supports CHF. * Positioning: COT shows net long CHF build-up; retail skew long USDCHF (contrarian). * Macro Lean: Mild USD-, CHF+ bias. MARKET MAP: * D1/H4 Structure: Bearish overall; clean LH/LL sequence; current H4 pullback into supply. * Liquidity Pools: Equal highs near 0.8055 swept; resting sell-side liquidity below 0.8000. * OB/FVG: H4 supply at 0.8045–0.8055; H1 demand at 0.7995–0.8005. * Play Type: Primary – Continuation after sweep; Alternate – Liquidity sweep reversal. RISK & MONEY MANAGEMENT: * Risk per idea: 1–1.5% (stagger if taking both). * Basket cap: 2% total. * Min R:R: 1:3; ATR/spread filter passed. * Trail stops per structure. CONFIDENCE: * Primary: 78% — HTF bearish alignment + macro bias + fresh H4 supply. FINAL EXECUTION STRATEGY / PERSONAL NOTE: * Primary: Zone is fresh, first touch pending. Will sell on H1 engulf from 0.8045–0.8055. * Stay flat if zone not tapped in session or no confirmation. POST-TRADE JOURNAL: To be filled after execution.