Trade Setup Analysis

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Trade Setup AnalysisBitcoin / U.S. dollarBITSTAMP:BTCUSDNEXOUS_clSHORT Entry Price: 108,590 (limit on pullback) Stop Loss: 108,840 Take Profit(s): TP1 108,200 · TP2 107,900 · TP3 107,500 Risk-to-Reward (RR): ~1.6:1 (TP1) · ~2.8:1 (TP2) · ~4.4:1 (TP3) Asset: BTCUSD (3-min, Heikin Ashi) Market Type: Crypto Session (if visible): NY overlap Rationale: Structure: Clean intraday downtrend; price trades below fast & slow MAs with a sequence of lower highs/lows. Smart Money / Flow: MTF Bias shows bearish 3/3; CVD deeply negative (strong sell) confirming dominant sell pressure; Vol Dominance favors sellers. Momentum/Stats: WaveTrend sell, Z-Score & RSI oversold → expect reactive bounces; therefore prefer fade-the-bounce rather than chase lows. Execution Logic: Enter on retest of the 108,560–108,650 supply/EMA pocket (fair-value gap fill from the impulsive drop). SL above the most recent LH/EMA cluster (108,840) to avoid noise. Management: Reduce risk at TP1 (move SL to BE), scale at TP2, leave a runner to TP3 targeting the liquidity shelf below 107,600–107,500. 🔒 DISCLAIMER This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves risk. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.