ETH/USD: ETH on the Edge!EthereumCRYPTO:ETHUSDpetermichalidesETH is currently trading around $4,390–$4,430 after a summer rally and a modest pullback, reflecting broader crypto weakness linked to shifting U.S. rate-cut expectations. Demand from spot ETH ETFs has been a key support factor, with inflows continuing steadily and several trackers reporting multi-billion-dollar monthly additions. On-chain activity also remains robust, with DeFi TVL, daily transactions, and active addresses near 2025 highs, indicating that real usage underpins price action. The completion of the Pectra upgrade and upcoming scalability improvements further support medium-term confidence, while macro developments remain the main swing factor, as crypto reacts to Fed guidance and broader risk appetite. Technically, $4,300–$4,350 provides immediate support, with deeper support at $4,150–$4,200, while resistance sits at $4,600, above which $4,950–$5,000 becomes achievable. In the next 2–6 weeks, ETH is likely to trade in a range of $4,200–$4,950, with ETF inflows and strong on-chain metrics cushioning dips, though a decisive close above $4,600 would open a run toward $4,900–$5,000, and a close below $4,300 risks probing $4,150–$4,200. Into Q4, the outlook remains constructive but choppy, with potential to retest and break $5,000 if flows persist and macro conditions remain favorable. Key risks include a macro downside surprise, ETF outflows, and technical or regulatory setbacks. Market participants should watch ETF flow prints, on-chain activity, and U.S. rates data, as these will heavily influence ETH price action. Overall, near-term trading likely remains choppy between $4,200 and $4,950, with $4,600 acting as pivotal resistance and $4,300 as immediate support, while ETF inflows and real usage favor buy-the-dip behavior, and macro developments will determine whether ETH can sustainably challenge $5,000.