EURUSD SetUp

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EURUSD SetUpEuro FX Futures (Sep 2025)CME:6EU2025Tarsi_Fx-Market Analysis Areas of Interest and Macroeconomic Context The EUR/USD pair highlights two key technical areas of interest that warrant attention for short- and medium-term trading strategies. With the start of a new month, caution is advised, as initial price movements may involve significant pullbacks toward areas of higher liquidity or relevant support/resistance zones. The latest Commitment of Traders (COT) report indicates an increase in long positions by large speculators, suggesting a bullish bias in institutional sentiment. This positioning should be evaluated within the context of both technical and fundamental analysis to anticipate potential market movements. Fundamental Factors Influencing Market Sentiment Recent U.S. economic data has had a notable impact on the EUR/USD pair, reinforcing expectations of a weakening U.S. dollar: Weak Economic Data: The Chicago PMI and the University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Index fell short of expectations, fueling speculation about a potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve (Fed). Pressure on the Dollar: Recent inflation data, combined with dovish remarks from the Fed, has heightened expectations of a more accommodative monetary policy, weakening the dollar against the euro. EUR/USD Movement: As a result, the pair has approached the upper end of its recent range, driven primarily by dollar weakness. #EURUSD #Forex #MarketAnalysis #Trading #Dollar #Euro #CurrencyMarket #COT