Is India's Q1 GDP growth overestimated? The surprise behind the better-than-expected 7.8% number

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HSBC India warns that India’s June quarter GDP growth of 7.8% may be overstated due to low deflators, especially in services and manufacturing. Inflation adjustments risk inflating real growth. External pressures like US tariffs and GST revenue impacts pose further challenges. Economists emphasize cautious optimism and stress the need to monitor growth sustainability amid evolving fiscal and global dynamics.