My Current View Of The SP 500 Index: November 2025 (Technical Analysis)

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Nov. 02, 2025 9:14 AM ETSPDR® S&P 500® ETF (SPY), SP500, SPX, VOO, IVVEFA, VXF, AGG, SPY, SP500, SPX, VOO, IVV1 CommentWalter Zelezniak Jr5K FollowersSPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) remains the preferred allocation for my Thrift Savings Plan entering the seasonally bullish November-April period.SPY, EFA, VXF, and AGG all trade above their 10-month EMAs, meeting my minimum bullish trend-following criteria for fund allocation.Relative strength analysis shows SPY outperforming EFA, VXF, and AGG, justifying a 100% allocation to SPY for November.I will reassess fund allocations monthly, using price trends and moving averages to stay in uptrends and avoid prolonged downtrends.monsitj/iStock via Getty ImagesThe stock market is now entering its seasonally bullish period which runs from November through April of the following year. With that in mind I wanted to see how I should position my retirement funds that areThis article was written byWalter Zelezniak Jr5K FollowersAs an individual investor nearing retirement I am trying to build my financial assets in order to have a fulfilling retirement. I am interested in trading both long and short; or at least using inverse ETFs, to take advantage of market declines. Having long term and short term trading strategies, proper execution of my trading plan, and absolute investing results are my goals. I see my articles as a way to keep me focused on developing winning trades. I also expect to learn much from the feedback that is provided in the comments section.Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of SPY either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.I also own SPXLSeeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.Comment(1)