This stock-market rally isn’t letting up. Could it be making investors too greedy ahead of year’s end?

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Now it’s a question of taking some profits or holding for a rally at year-end. - Getty Images/iStockWith the S&P 500 on pace for a 16% yearly gain already, investors find themselves at a familiar crossroads: lock in profits while they are hot, or stay greedy and bet on a typical year-end rally that could push stocks to new highs.The S&P 500 SPX just defied one of Wall Street’s most entrenched seasonal clichés — “sell in May and go away” — with its strongest May-through-October stretch since 1950. Historically, this six-month stretch is the worst seasonal period for stocks, with an average gain of only 2.1%, according to data compiled by LPL Financials. But this time, the S&P 500 advanced 22.9% during the period, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA was up nearly 17% and the Nasdaq Composite COMP surged 36%, according to FactSet data.‘I don’t want to worry about money’: I’m 64 with $400K in savings and $700 in Social Security. Can I retire next year?Buffett keeps selling stocks — and more takeaways from Berkshire Hathaway earningsI’m 53, a single parent with a $1 million home. My boyfriend wants to marry. Am I better off staying single?My husband and I have $7K in Social Security and $2.5 million in stocks. What could go wrong?History also shows that when stocks resist the “sell in May” slump with double-digit summer gains, the rally often has more room to run.Since 1950, the S&P 500 has averaged nearly 12% from November through April in such cases, outpacing the market’s usual 7% return during its most favorable six-month window, said Adam Turnquist, chief technical strategist at LPL Financial (see chart below).SOURCE: LPL Research, Bloomberg -As October drew to a close, investors turned their attentions to the final two months of the year — a period that’s historically bullish — while wondering whether a year-end rally is already underway.History suggests that the S&P 500 has shined the brightest in November and December, averaging a 3.1% gain during those two-month periods since 1945, while logging positive returns 76% of the time, said Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA Research.To be sure, seasonal trends do not always translate into reality and should always be viewed in the context of current market conditions. Seasonality simply reflects the broader market climate rather than the immediate setup on Wall Street — meaning stock performance through year-end doesn’t have to follow any seasonal script, LPL’s Turnquist noted.After all, “economic conditions, earnings, geopolitics, along with fiscal, monetary and trade policy, are much bigger drivers of price action” in the stock market this year, he said.Terms and Privacy PolicyPrivacy & Cookie SettingsMore InfoS&P 5006,840.20 +17.86 (+0.26%)Dow 3047,562.87 +40.77 (+0.09%)Nasdaq23,724.96 +143.86 (+0.61%)Russell 20002,479.38 +13.43 (+0.54%)VIX17.44 +0.53 (+3.13%)Gold3,996.50 -19.40 (-0.48%)PortfolioSign in to access your portfolioSign inTop gainersBHF Brighthouse Financial, Inc. 57.07 +11.38 (+24.91%)ILMN Illumina, Inc. 123.54 +24.53 (+24.78%)TWLO Twilio Inc. 134.88 +22.02 (+19.51%)TVTX Travere Therapeutics, Inc. 35.16 +5.51 (+18.58%)BFAM Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc. 109.23 +16.95 (+18.37%)Top losersATGE Adtalem Global Education Inc. 98.02 -43.75 (-30.86%)SPSC SPS Commerce, Inc. 82.24 -21.65 (-20.84%)TBBK The Bancorp, Inc. 65.37 -11.83 (-15.32%)DXCM DexCom, Inc. 58.22 -9.98 (-14.63%)ABR Arbor Realty Trust, Inc. 10.09 -1.46 (-12.64%)Most activeNVDA NVIDIA Corporation 202.49 -0.32 (-0.16%)AMZN Amazon.com, Inc. 244.22 +21.36 (+9.58%)PFE Pfizer Inc. 24.65 +0.36 (+1.48%)OPEN Opendoor Technologies Inc. 7.77 +0.43 (+5.86%)ONDS Ondas Holdings Inc. 6.44 +0.15 (+2.38%)Earnings eventsMy earnings eventsEarnings eventsTrending tickersBTC-USD Bitcoin USD 110,019.01 +108.05 (+0.10%)ETH-USD Ethereum USD 3,860.98 -8.22 (-0.21%)XRP-USD XRP USD 2.51 +0.02 (+0.61%)VOLT Tema Electrification ETF 30.49 -0.08 (-0.26%)SOL-USD Solana USD 185.54 +0.06 (+0.03%)Top economic events