Technical analysis April 13: Arabica broke out close to the 301 Coffee C Futures (May 2026)ICEUS_DLY:KCK2026Hung-JKThe market is in a strong growth phase after establishing a solid bottom and breaking the previous downward structure. The price range of 301.00 is currently a key psychological threshold. Trading tends to prioritize holding Buy positions and trigger chasing when the price completely escapes the current resistance zone. 1. Review previous session recommendations The scenario of Buying at the adjustment period of 288.00 - 290.00 in the April 9 session brought optimal results when the price rebounded strongly right after the testing period. In the April 10 session, the price decisively broke through 297.00 and closed at 300.10, closely following the main growth scenario. Existing Buy positions are in a state of great profit; The Breakout Buy scenario at 301.00 is waiting to be activated as soon as the next session opens. 2. Overview of trends & price structure Arabica has officially ended the medium-term price decline phase and switched to the growth phase with expansion acceleration. The current market structure is completely controlled by the Bulls after forming a double bottom reversal pattern and breaking out of the long-term downtrend line. The fact that prices continuously set higher closing levels shows that cash flow is focusing strongly on this commodity due to supply concerns. The chart's logic reflects the shift from the accumulation phase to the sustainable price increase phase, where short-term corrections are quickly eliminated by active demand, creating a premise for the price to soon approach the target resistance area of 325.00. 2. Technical prices Resistance: 301.25 – 325.00 – 361.15 Support: 291.80 – 285.00 3. Detailed technical analysis The candle on April 10 was a long bullish candle, closing close to the session high at 300.10. Data correlation shows: Price increased + Green volume increased (22.92K) + OI decreased (38.44K) → Short Covering. This breakthrough is mainly due to the fact that the Sellers were forced to close a series of stop-loss positions when the price surpassed the above blocking thresholds, creating an extremely strong resonant thrust. The VPA signal confirms that the upward momentum is highly reliable when the efforts of the Buyers result in a decisive breakthrough in price. Hedge funds are aggressively liquidating the remaining Short positions and starting to shift to an overwhelming Buy position. Market sentiment turned to excitement as logistics risks in Brazil show no signs of cooling down. Traders are stepping up defensive buying positions to protect capital prices, causing supply pressure on the electricity board to be completely absorbed as soon as prices show signs of a slight dip. The top-bottom sequence is forming a steep ascending structure. According to the arrow diagram on the chart, the price has completed the regression wave and is in an upward wave pushing towards the 325.00 mark. The current price position is just below the psychological resistance of 301.00; Exceeding this mark will confirm the continuation of the medium-term uptrend wave. This structure will only be disabled if the price turns down sharply and closes decisively below 285.00. 4. Next session's trading scenario Action: Continue to hold and open more Buy positions (TP: 325.00 SL: 291.00); Background: Confirmation of continued upward momentum from strong Short Covering effect. Scenario 2 (25%): Price faces profit-taking pressure at 301.25 and there is a technical correction to 294.00. Action: Wait to buy (Buy Limit) at area 293.00 – 295.00 (Tp: 301.00; SL: 284.00); Basis: Retesting demand at the short-term support zone before continuing the upward wave. 5. Recommendations by subject Manufacturer/importer (Buyer): Make a drastic Long Hedge as soon as the price exceeds 301.25. This is the key price area to protect profit margins before the market enters the acceleration phase to 325.00. Trade/export (Sellers): Absolutely do not establish short positions to block the trend. Patiently wait for the price to approach the target resistance of 325.00 and for clear reversal signals to appear before considering re-establishing short Hedge positions.